TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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XRP Up or Down - February 13, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

XRP Up or Down - February 13, 5PM ET

Volume:
$60,319

$1.4 to 1.4199

 - Kalshi

$1.4 to 1.4199 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 17, 2026

Closed: Feb 13, 5:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$1.4 to 1.4199

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$1,592
$587
N/A
N/A
$534
Settled
Yes
polymarket

XRP Up or Down - February 13, 5PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,528
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.38 to 1.3999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$6,191
$7,107
N/A
N/A
$719
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.14 to 1.1599

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$64,563
$4,892
N/A
N/A
$4,892
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.04 to 1.0599

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$64,166
$4,892
N/A
N/A
$4,892
Settled
No
kalshi

$1 to 1.0199

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$64,737
$4,380
N/A
N/A
$4,380
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.2 to 1.2199

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$61,294
$3,860
N/A
N/A
$3,860
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.24 to 1.2599

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$55,321
$3,079
N/A
N/A
$3,079
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.44 to 1.4599

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$21,539
$2,632
N/A
N/A
$1,647
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.77991 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$4,395
$2,148
N/A
N/A
$1,998
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.98 to 0.9999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$71,840
$1,884
N/A
N/A
$1,884
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.34 to 1.3599

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$4,758
$1,781
N/A
N/A
$460
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.36 to 1.3799

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$58,611
$1,647
N/A
N/A
$845
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.32 to 1.3399

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$83,359
$1,472
N/A
N/A
$101
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.92 to 0.9399

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$64,052
$1,108
N/A
N/A
$1,108
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.46 to 1.4799

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$59,318
$927
N/A
N/A
$927
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.58 to 1.5999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$58,402
$630
N/A
N/A
$630
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.82 to 0.8399

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$64,166
$562
N/A
N/A
$562
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.86 to 0.8799

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$64,263
$539
N/A
N/A
$539
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.52 to 1.5399

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$59,072
$321
N/A
N/A
$321
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.42 to 1.4399

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$5,358
$106
N/A
N/A
$96
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.3 to 1.3199

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$4,890
$46
N/A
N/A
$29
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.02 to 1.0399

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$63,853
$46
N/A
N/A
$46
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.28 to 1.2999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$55,064
$36
N/A
N/A
$16
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.8199999 or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$64,802
$31
N/A
N/A
$31
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 51

Description

This event group tracks whether XRP/USD price closes higher than or equal to its opening price during a specific 1-hour candle on February 13, 2026 at 5 PM ET. Polymarket uses Binance XRP/USDT spot data, while Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) with 60-second averaging.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi use fundamentally different data sources (Binance XRP/USDT vs. CF Benchmarks XRPUSD_RTI index), different measurement methodologies (single candle close vs. open comparison vs. 60-second averaging across 50 discrete bands), and incompatible resolution logic (binary Up/Down vs. 50 Yes conditions with undefined No scenario). The markets are not interchangeable and may resolve to opposite outcomes at the same timestamp.Hero tip: These are two separate markets with incompatible mechanics. Polymarket bets on directional movement (close >= open); Kalshi bets on landing in one of 50 specific price bands. Confirm which data source aligns with your market view. On Kalshi, identify the price gaps between the 50 Yes bands—if the index lands outside all bands, the resolution outcome is undefined and may trigger a dispute or cancellation.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary directional market: resolves Up if XRP/USDT close price >= open price on the 1H candle starting Feb 13, 5 PM ET; otherwise Down. Uses Binance spot data only. Key Quote: 'The close C and open O displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant 1H candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized.'
  • Kalshi: 50 discrete Yes-resolution conditions based on 60-second average of CF Benchmarks XRPUSD_RTI index before 5 PM EST on Feb 13, 2026. Covers price bands from below 0.82000 to above 1.7799, with 0.02 or 0.04 width per band. No explicit No condition; resolution if index falls outside all bands is undefined. Key Quote: 'If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EST is [band], then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.