TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group tracks whether Ethereum will reach or dip to specific price levels during February 2026. Polymarket offers 22 binary markets using Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data, while Kalshi offers 8 markets with unspecified price source and data granularity.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket specifies Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candles as the sole resolution source with explicit High/Low price logic. Kalshi provides no data source, exchange, or granularity specification, creating potential for different price observations and resolution outcomes.Hero Tip:
Polymarket offers transparent, verifiable resolution via Binance 1m candles. Kalshi's unspecified data source introduces execution risk. Cross-platform traders should verify Kalshi's official resolution methodology before committing capital, as a different exchange or time aggregation could cause divergent outcomes on identical price thresholds.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Explicit single-source resolution: Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candles only. 'Reach' markets use High prices, 'dip' markets use Low prices. Prices from other exchanges, pairs, or spot markets explicitly excluded. Key Quote: 'The outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.'Kalshi:
No data source, exchange, or granularity specified. Resolution triggers on 'ever above [threshold]' logic through Feb 28, 2026 11:59 PM ET. No exclusion of alternative exchanges, pairs, or data types. Key Quote: 'If the price of ETH after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Feb 28, 2026 is ever above $3000.00, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.