TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What price will Ethereum hit in February?
polymarket
kalshi

What price will Ethereum hit in February?

Volume:
$36,225,972

↓ 2,000

 - Polymarket

↓ 2,000 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 1, 2026

Closed: Mar 1, 12:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

↓ 2,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$746,838
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ 1,800

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$532,856
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ 2,200

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$249,873
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ 2,400

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$147,701
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ 2,600

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$61,975
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ 4,400

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,802,971
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ 5,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,971,673
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ 2,800

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,314,653
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ 1,600

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,171,738
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ 4,200

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,919,957
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ 1,200

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,573,365
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ 1,400

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,310,090
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ 3,800

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,292,877
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ 4,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,201,392
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ 3,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,120,632
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ 800

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,018,552
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ 1,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$959,685
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ 3,600

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$857,240
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ 3,400

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$836,395
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ 3,200

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$732,959
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $2,500.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$176,459
N/A
N/A
$78,469
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $2,750.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$96,477
N/A
N/A
$60,343
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $3,000.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$73,030
N/A
N/A
$57,975
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $3,250.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,209
N/A
N/A
$18,929
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $3,500.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,396
N/A
N/A
$12,396
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 28

Description

This event group tracks whether Ethereum will reach or dip to specific price levels during February 2026. Polymarket offers 22 binary markets using Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data, while Kalshi offers 8 markets with unspecified price source and data granularity.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket specifies Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candles as the sole resolution source with explicit High/Low price logic. Kalshi provides no data source, exchange, or granularity specification, creating potential for different price observations and resolution outcomes.Hero tip: Polymarket offers transparent, verifiable resolution via Binance 1m candles. Kalshi's unspecified data source introduces execution risk. Cross-platform traders should verify Kalshi's official resolution methodology before committing capital, as a different exchange or time aggregation could cause divergent outcomes on identical price thresholds.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Explicit single-source resolution: Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candles only. 'Reach' markets use High prices, 'dip' markets use Low prices. Prices from other exchanges, pairs, or spot markets explicitly excluded. Key Quote: 'The outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.'
  • Kalshi: No data source, exchange, or granularity specified. Resolution triggers on 'ever above [threshold]' logic through Feb 28, 2026 11:59 PM ET. No exclusion of alternative exchanges, pairs, or data types. Key Quote: 'If the price of ETH after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Feb 28, 2026 is ever above $3000.00, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.