TOTAL VOLUME:

$61.6b

24H VOL:

$215,176,776

24H TRANSACTIONS:

595,647,402

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,321,740,341

576,656

Markets across

14,624

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,045

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

50%

VS.

Kalshi:

50%

BETA
S

Solstice FDV above ___ one day after launch? Odds & Prediction Markets

Mar 25, 2026, 11:33 AM EST - Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$2,722,668
Volume 24h:
$13,732
0%
Liquidity:
$49,159
96%
Open interest:
$518,488
0%
PredictionHero

Closed: Jan 1, 12:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This event group tracks whether Solstice's governance token will achieve specific fully diluted valuation (FDV) thresholds at a defined measurement point: 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following token launch. The group consists of five linked binary markets at FDV levels of $50M, $100M, $200M, $300M, and $400M.

Created at:Apr 30, 2026, 7:19 PM GMT
Updated at:May 28, 2026, 10:09 AM GMT
Event ID:102030

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Predict reflect traders' collective assessment of Solstice's launch-day valuation, which may diverge from traditional spot price forecasts or analyst estimates. While spot markets react to real-time supply and demand, prediction markets price in forward-looking expectations about whether a specific FDV threshold will be breached. The current odds incorporate uncertainty around token distribution, initial liquidity, and market sentiment, offering a probabilistic view distinct from static price targets.

On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the Solstice FDV outcome is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing yes or no positions. The current implied probability reflects the ratio of yes-side to total liquidity. Traders profit if the event resolves true—meaning Solstice's FDV exceeds the threshold one day post-launch—and lose if it resolves false. Pricing adjusts continuously as new information emerges and positions shift, with $513,602 in total volume demonstrating active participation.

Key catalysts include Solstice's official launch date announcement, token allocation details, exchange listing confirmations, and early trading volume on major platforms. Macroeconomic shifts, regulatory developments affecting crypto valuations, and competitor token launches can also influence trader expectations. Social sentiment, developer roadmap updates, and partnerships announced pre-launch will shape conviction around whether the FDV threshold is achievable within the tight one-day window, driving odds movements on Predict.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.