TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,997,338

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,395,155,069

395,664

Markets across

30,076

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Solana Up or Down - March 30, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

Solana Up or Down - March 30, 5PM ET

Volume:
$22,256

Solana Up or Down - March 30, 5PM ET

 - Polymarket

Solana Up or Down - March 30, 5PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 31, 2026

Closed: Mar 30, 6:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Solana Up or Down - March 30, 5PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,264
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$74 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$759
N/A
N/A
$757
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$82 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$735
N/A
N/A
$258
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$76 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$511
N/A
N/A
$447
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$66 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$174
N/A
N/A
$174
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$70 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$131
N/A
N/A
$131
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$73 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$130
N/A
N/A
$128
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$67 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$127
N/A
N/A
$127
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$79 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$123
N/A
N/A
$107
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$68 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$122
N/A
N/A
$120
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$69 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$109
N/A
N/A
$109
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$72 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$95
N/A
N/A
$95
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$78 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$87
N/A
N/A
$76
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$80 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$85
N/A
N/A
$83
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$77 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$43
N/A
N/A
$34
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$62 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
$29
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$52 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$27
N/A
N/A
$27
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$75 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$24
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$60 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
$19
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$81 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
$14
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$56 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
$17
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$64 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$58 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
$14
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$43 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$44 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 76

Description

This event group tracks whether Solana (SOL) price moves up or down on March 30, 2026 at 5 PM ET. Polymarket uses a 1-hour candle comparison (open vs close) from Binance SOL/USDT, while Kalshi uses 60-second price averages from CF Benchmarks SOLUSD_RTI index at multiple price thresholds. The markets fundamentally measure different things: directional movement vs absolute price level confirmation.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi measure fundamentally different settlement values: Polymarket resolves on directional price movement (1H candle open vs close on Binance), while Kalshi resolves on absolute price levels (60-second average of CF Benchmarks index against 73 distinct thresholds). The data sources, measurement windows, and resolution mechanics are incompatible.Hero tip: These are not the same market split across platforms. Polymarket's directional outcome is independent of price level; Kalshi's outcomes depend entirely on absolute price thresholds. Monitor Binance SOL/USDT 1H candle data for Polymarket and CF Benchmarks SOLUSD_RTI 60-second average for Kalshi separately. Arbitrage opportunities may exist if price levels and directional movement diverge from market expectations.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary directional resolution on Binance SOL/USDT 1H candle. Resolves "Up" if close price >= open price for the candle beginning at 5 PM ET on March 30, 2026. Pure directional bet independent of absolute price level. Key Quote: 'The close C and open O displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant 1H candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized.'
  • Kalshi: 73 separate price-level confirmation markets using CF Benchmarks SOLUSD_RTI index. Each market resolves Yes if the 60-second average before 5 PM EDT exceeds a specific threshold (ranging from $42.9999 to $116.9999). Absolute price level bet, not directional. Key Quote: 'If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks SOLUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above [threshold] at 5 PM EDT on Mar 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.