TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Solana Up or Down - March 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

Solana Up or Down - March 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Volume:
$11,595

$83 or above

 - Kalshi

$83 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 16, 2026

Closed: Mar 28, 5:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$83 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,107
N/A
N/A
$948
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$80 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$174
N/A
N/A
$124
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$81 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$152
N/A
N/A
$98
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$79 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$130
N/A
N/A
$130
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$82 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$96
N/A
N/A
$62
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$74 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$24
N/A
N/A
$23
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$71 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
$22
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$50 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
$17
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$57 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$54 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$78 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$48 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$49 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$51 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$52 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$53 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$55 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$56 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$58 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$59 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$60 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$61 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$62 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$63 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$64 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 76

Description

This event group tracks whether Solana's price moves up or down during a specific 4-hour window on March 28, 2026 (4:00 PM–8:00 PM ET). Polymarket uses a simple directional comparison (opening vs. closing price via Chainlink), while Kalshi offers 75 granular price-level binary outcomes at a single checkpoint (5:00 PM EDT) using CF Benchmarks data.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Two distinct market architectures using different data sources, time windows, and resolution mechanics. Polymarket is a 4-hour directional binary; Kalshi is a 75-contract price-level grid resolved at a single 5 PM EDT snapshot.Hero tip: These markets are not interchangeable. Polymarket bets on direction over 4 hours; Kalshi bets on price levels at one moment. Choose based on your view: do you want directional exposure (Polymarket) or precise price-level exposure (Kalshi)? Verify your preferred data source: Chainlink or CF Benchmarks.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Directional binary (Up/Down) comparing Chainlink SOL/USD at 4:00 PM ET vs. 8:00 PM ET on March 28. Resolves Up if end price >= start price. Source: Chainlink SOL/USD data stream at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd.
  • Kalshi: 75 separate Yes/No contracts, each resolving Yes if CF Benchmarks SOLUSD_RTI 60-second average before 5 PM EDT exceeds a specific threshold (ranging $47.9999 to $121.9999). All resolve at 5 PM EDT on March 28, 2026.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.