TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group tracks whether Solana's price moves up or down during a specific 4-hour window on March 28, 2026 (4:00 PM–8:00 PM ET). Polymarket uses a simple directional comparison (opening vs. closing price via Chainlink), while Kalshi offers 75 granular price-level binary outcomes at a single checkpoint (5:00 PM EDT) using CF Benchmarks data.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Two distinct market architectures using different data sources, time windows, and resolution mechanics. Polymarket is a 4-hour directional binary; Kalshi is a 75-contract price-level grid resolved at a single 5 PM EDT snapshot.Hero Tip:
These markets are not interchangeable. Polymarket bets on direction over 4 hours; Kalshi bets on price levels at one moment. Choose based on your view: do you want directional exposure (Polymarket) or precise price-level exposure (Kalshi)? Verify your preferred data source: Chainlink or CF Benchmarks.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Directional binary (Up/Down) comparing Chainlink SOL/USD at 4:00 PM ET vs. 8:00 PM ET on March 28. Resolves Up if end price >= start price. Source: Chainlink SOL/USD data stream at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd.Kalshi:
75 separate Yes/No contracts, each resolving Yes if CF Benchmarks SOLUSD_RTI 60-second average before 5 PM EDT exceeds a specific threshold (ranging $47.9999 to $121.9999). All resolve at 5 PM EDT on March 28, 2026.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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