TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,997,338

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,395,155,069

395,664

Markets across

30,076

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Solana Up or Down - April 3, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

Solana Up or Down - April 3, 5PM ET

Volume:
$61,463

Solana Up or Down - April 3, 5PM ET

 - Polymarket

Solana Up or Down - April 3, 5PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 4, 2026

Closed: Apr 3, 6:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Solana Up or Down - April 3, 5PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,315
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$80 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,357
N/A
N/A
$6,611
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$78 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,421
N/A
N/A
$3,396
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$79 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,461
N/A
N/A
$1,933
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$77 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,735
N/A
N/A
$1,362
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$75 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,581
N/A
N/A
$1,158
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$73 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,008
N/A
N/A
$787
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$72 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$939
N/A
N/A
$701
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$76 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$728
N/A
N/A
$445
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$74 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$527
N/A
N/A
$370
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$70 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$140
N/A
N/A
$139
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$64 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$110
N/A
N/A
$110
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$66 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$84
N/A
N/A
$84
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$68 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
$56
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$71 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$67 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$60 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$84 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,804
N/A
N/A
$8,189
Settled
No
kalshi

$81 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,811
N/A
N/A
$4,409
Settled
No
kalshi

$83 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,556
N/A
N/A
$2,046
Settled
No
kalshi

$82 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,432
N/A
N/A
$1,278
Settled
No
kalshi

$85 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,825
N/A
N/A
$1,489
Settled
No
kalshi

$87 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$876
N/A
N/A
$710
Settled
No
kalshi

$88 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$874
N/A
N/A
$783
Settled
No
kalshi

$86 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$718
N/A
N/A
$627
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 51

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi use fundamentally incompatible resolution sources and logic. Polymarket resolves based on Binance SOL/USDT 1-hour candle open/close comparison, while Kalshi resolves based on CF Benchmarks SOLUSD_RTI 60-second average at a specific timestamp. These are different price feeds, different time windows, and different calculation methods, making simultaneous resolution impossible.Hero tip: Do not assume these markets will resolve identically. Polymarket's binary Up/Down outcome depends on Binance candle data, while Kalshi's 50 separate Yes/No outcomes depend on CF Benchmarks price tiers. Price discrepancies between exchanges or timing misalignment could cause one platform to resolve Yes while the other resolves No. Verify which source matches your trading thesis before committing capital.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Outlier: Resolves based on Binance SOL/USDT pair, comparing the open and close prices of the 1-hour candle beginning at April 3, 5PM ET. Market resolves UP if close >= open, DOWN otherwise. Single binary outcome. Source: 'The close and open displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant 1H candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized.'
  • Kalshi: Outlier: Resolves based on CF Benchmarks SOLUSD_RTI price feed, calculating the simple average of 60 seconds of data before 5PM EDT on April 3, 2026. Contains 50 separate Yes/No markets, each with a different price threshold ($59.9999 to $108.9999). All resolve Yes if the 60-second average exceeds their respective threshold. Source: 'the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks SOLUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.