TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.6b
24H VOL:
$215,176,776
24H TRANSACTIONS:
595,647,402
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,321,740,341
576,656
Markets across
14,624
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,045
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Reppo FDV above $500M one day after launch?
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$20
$50
$100
$500
Trade on Polymarket
At 96¢ buys you 104 shares | Odds: 96% Total Payout: $104 | Net Profit: $4 Multiplier: 1.04x | ROI: 4% | APY: 3% 570 days to resolution
Trade on Predict
At 99.5¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 0.5% | APY: 3% 570 days to resolutionIntro
This market tracks whether Reppo's official token will achieve a fully diluted valuation above $100 million exactly one day after its public launch. Aggregated across Polymarket and Predict, the consensus probability stands at 96.0%. Resolution will be determined by the most liquid price source available for Reppo's official token at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. Watch for the official announcement of Reppo's token launch date, as the one-day post-launch valuation snapshot will be the decisive measurement point.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Primary resolution logic:
Most liquid price source available for Reppo's official token at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launchCore resolution logic:
- An official token must be launched by Reppo (verified via https://x.com/reppo) and be actively, publicly tradable
- FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by the token price from the most liquid available source
- Resolution measurement occurs at exactly 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the launch date
- Market resolves YES if FDV exceeds the specified threshold; resolves NO if FDV is at or below the threshold
- Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs, and synthetic tokens do not qualify
- If no qualifying token launches by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, all markets in the group resolve NO
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Token qualification ambiguity: If Reppo launches multiple tokens or a token with hybrid characteristics, only an official token that is not a stablecoin, memecoin, LST, or synthetic token qualifies. The official Reppo social account must confirm the launch.
- Liquidity source unavailability: If the most liquid price source becomes unavailable at the resolution time, the next most liquid source is used. If no tradable price can be determined at 4:00 PM ET on the target day, resolution may be delayed pending price discovery.
- Launch timing edge case: If a token launches late on a calendar day (e.g., 11:00 PM ET), the resolution measurement window is 4:00 PM ET the following calendar day, not 24 hours after launch.
- Supply or price manipulation: Resolution uses the most liquid price source available; markets do not adjust for flash crashes, pump-and-dumps, or temporary price anomalies unless the source itself becomes unreliable.
- Deadline expiration: If December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET passes without a qualifying launch, all markets resolve NO regardless of any subsequent token launch.
Timing:
Resolution occurs at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following Reppo's official token launch. If no launch occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, all markets resolve NO.Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds reflect traders' forward-looking consensus on Reppo's one-day FDV, often diverging from spot price because they price in launch volatility, initial liquidity conditions, and hype cycles. Markets embed expectations about token distribution, early buyer demand, and broader crypto sentiment. While spot prices react to real-time supply and demand, prediction odds aggregate longer-term probability assessments. Comparing the two reveals whether markets expect Reppo to outperform or underperform initial trading levels, helping you identify potential mispricing between immediate market action and consensus valuation targets.
Polymarket and Predict may price Reppo's FDV outcome differently due to variations in user base composition, liquidity depth, and market-making behavior. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts traders with distinct risk appetites and information sets, creating temporary arbitrage opportunities. Polymarket currently shows while Predict reflects , a spread of percentage points. Differences also stem from fee structures, settlement confidence, and how each platform's community weights launch catalysts like exchange listings or marketing announcements.
The market resolves on Jan 1, 2028. Outcome determination hinges on Reppo's verified fully diluted valuation exactly one day after its official launch timestamp. Resolution requires confirmation of the final FDV figure against the specified threshold, with data sourced from on-chain metrics, exchange listings, or official project announcements. The binary outcome—above or below the threshold—settles once the measurement window closes and validators confirm the FDV snapshot.
Key catalysts include exchange listing announcements, which typically drive initial trading volume and valuation spikes. Major partnerships, influencer endorsements, or protocol upgrades announced pre-launch can shift market expectations upward. Conversely, regulatory concerns, competitor launches, or broader crypto market downturns may suppress FDV. Token unlock schedules, early investor sentiment, and community growth metrics also influence one-day valuations. Macro crypto conditions, Bitcoin price movements, and sentiment around new token launches will shape trader positioning through resolution.
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