TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group tracks whether the HYPE/USDT cryptocurrency pair closes higher than or equal to its opening price during a specific 1-hour candle on April 28 at 5PM ET. The resolution depends on price data from Binance futures markets, with binary outcomes of Up (close >= open) or Down (close < open).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms apply identical binary logic comparing the close and open prices of the 1-hour HYPE/USDT candle beginning April 28, 5PM ET on Binance, with no conflicting rules or alternative data sources.
Primary resolution logic:
Binance HYPE/USDT futures pair (https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT) - specifically the 1H candle open and close prices displayed at the top of the graph once finalizedCore resolution logic:
- Resolution occurs after the 1-hour candle closes (at 6PM ET on April 28)
- Market resolves to Up if close price >= open price for the HYPE/USDT pair
- Market resolves to Down if close price < open price for the HYPE/USDT pair
- Only Binance HYPE/USDT futures data is used; no other exchanges or trading pairs are considered
- Resolution uses finalized candle data only, not real-time or preliminary prices
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Price equality: If close price equals open price exactly, the market resolves to Up (per the >= condition)
- Data finalization delay: Resolution waits for Binance to finalize the 1H candle data; if data is unavailable or corrupted, resolution may be delayed pending data recovery
- Exchange outage: If Binance experiences an outage during or immediately after the candle close, resolution uses the last confirmed price data available from Binance
Timing:
Resolution occurs after 6PM ET on April 28, 2024, once the 1-hour candle that began at 5PM ET has closed and Binance has finalized the open and close pricesOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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