TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 5PM ET

Volume:
$383,544

$2,250 or above

 - Kalshi

$2,250 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Apr 10, 5:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$2,250 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$70,968
N/A
N/A
$23,479
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$2,090 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$57,184
N/A
N/A
$16,142
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$2,210 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$45,560
N/A
N/A
$31,312
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$2,050 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$40,817
N/A
N/A
$5,444
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$2,170 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$35,109
N/A
N/A
$13,137
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$2,130 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19,692
N/A
N/A
$12,908
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$2,010 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,727
N/A
N/A
$6,089
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,970 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,398
N/A
N/A
$2,191
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,730 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,842
N/A
N/A
$3,842
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,930 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,195
N/A
N/A
$690
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,850 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,028
N/A
N/A
$923
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,890 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$980
N/A
N/A
$698
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,050 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$877
N/A
N/A
$877
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,170 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$378
N/A
N/A
$378
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,690 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$352
N/A
N/A
$342
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,810 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$325
N/A
N/A
$291
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,090 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$212
N/A
N/A
$212
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,130 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$212
N/A
N/A
$212
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,210 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$212
N/A
N/A
$212
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,250 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$212
N/A
N/A
$212
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,290 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$207
N/A
N/A
$207
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,330 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$207
N/A
N/A
$207
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,370 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$207
N/A
N/A
$207
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,410 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$207
N/A
N/A
$207
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1,450 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$207
N/A
N/A
$207
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 51

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi use fundamentally incompatible resolution sources and methodologies. Polymarket resolves based on Binance ETH/USDT 1-hour candle open/close comparison, while Kalshi resolves based on CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) with 43 distinct price thresholds. These sources measure different underlying values and will produce different outcomes.Hero tip: Do not assume positions on Polymarket will correlate with Kalshi outcomes. Polymarket is a binary up/down candle comparison on a single exchange; Kalshi is a multi-threshold index-based settlement. Monitor both Binance ETH/USDT and CF Benchmarks ERTI separately at 5 PM EDT on April 10, 2026. A price move that resolves UP on Polymarket may not trigger any Kalshi threshold, and vice versa.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Outlier: Resolves based on Binance ETH/USDT 1-hour candle comparison. Market resolves YES (Up) if close price >= open price for the 1H candle beginning at 5 PM ET on April 10; otherwise NO (Down). Single binary outcome determined by one exchange pair. Key quote: 'The close and open displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant 1H candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized.'
  • Kalshi: Outlier: Resolves based on CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) with 43 separate price thresholds ranging from 1049.99 to 3009.99. Each threshold is an independent YES/NO market. Resolution uses the simple average of 60 seconds of ERTI data before 5 PM EDT on April 10, 2026. Key quote: 'If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) before 5 PM EDT is above [threshold] at 5 PM EDT on Apr 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.