TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Dogecoin Up or Down - April 23, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 23, 5PM ET

Volume:
$1,835

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 23, 5PM ET

 - Polymarket

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 23, 5PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 24, 2026

Closed: Apr 23, 6:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 23, 5PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,677
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 23, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
$51
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 23, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 23, 2026?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$69
N/A
N/A
$69
Settled
No
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 23, 2026?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
No
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 23, 2026?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
No
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 23, 2026?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
No
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 23, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 23, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 23, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 23, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 23, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 23, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 23, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 23, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 23, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 23, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 23, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 23, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 23, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 23, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 23, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 23, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 23, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dogecoin price on Apr 23, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 38

Description

This event group tracks whether Dogecoin's price moves up or down during a specific 1-hour trading window on April 23, 2026 at 5 PM ET. Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) with 37 redundant yes-resolution thresholds, while Polymarket uses Binance DOGE/USDT 1-hour candle open/close comparison. The markets fundamentally measure directional price movement but rely on different data sources and methodologies.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket measure Dogecoin price movement using different indices (CF Benchmarks RTI vs Binance DOGE/USDT), different aggregation methods (60-second average vs single 1-hour candle open/close), and different resolution logic (absolute threshold levels vs relative directional comparison). These methodological differences create independent settlement paths that may produce opposite outcomes.Hero tip: Do not assume these markets will resolve identically. Kalshi resolves YES if the CF Benchmarks 60-second average exceeds any threshold; Polymarket resolves UP only if Binance close >= open for the 1-hour candle. A sideways or slightly up move on Binance could resolve DOWN while Kalshi resolves YES if the absolute price level is above a threshold. Monitor both data sources independently and understand that arbitrage between these markets carries basis risk.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Uses CF Benchmarks Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) with 37 redundant YES-resolution thresholds ranging from 0.0099999 to 0.1849999 USD. Measures a 60-second average before 5 PM EDT. No explicit NO condition; all thresholds resolve to YES. This is an absolute price-level measurement.
  • Polymarket: Uses Binance DOGE/USDT 1-hour candle data. Resolves UP if close >= open; resolves DOWN otherwise. Measures relative price change within a single 1-hour candle, not an average. This is a directional (relative) measurement.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.