TOTAL VOLUME:

$142.3b

24H VOL:

$107,419,736

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,643,541,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,594,026,835

471,138

Markets across

35,775

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,926

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Will Loopscale launch a token by ___?
polymarket
predict
opinion

Will Loopscale launch a token by ___?

Total volume:
$10,888,158
Volume 24h:
$17,533
872,185%
Liquidity:
$9,261
8%
Open interest:
$3,510N/A

December 31, 2027

 - Polymarket

December 31, 2027 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2028

Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2027?

35%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 38¢ buys you 263 shares | Odds: 35% Total Payout: $263 | Net Profit: $163 Multiplier: 2.63x | ROI: 163% | APY: 122% Low liquidity 443 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

December 31, 2027

Trade
35%
Yes 38¢No 68¢
6¢
$627
$13,965
0%
3%
N/A
1y 2mo 2w
active
opinion

December 31, 2026

Trade
32%
Yes 23.4¢No 23.4¢
—
N/A
$1,944,198
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 2w 2d
active
polymarket

December 31, 2026

Trade
10%
Yes 11¢No 92¢
3¢
$928
$100,595
0%
0.04%
N/A
2mo 2w 4d
active
predict

December 31, 2026

Trade
7%
Yes 8¢No 94¢
2¢
$3,811
$98,352
0%
0.8%
N/A
2mo 2w 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
8.3%
Yes 14.1¢No 69.8¢
Avg: 2.5¢Max: 3¢
opinion

June 30, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,902,709
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 2d
No
polymarket

June 30, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41,659
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

June 30, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,746
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 4d
No
opinion

March 31, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,006,276
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 2d
No
opinion

September 30, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,556,280
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 2d
No
predict

September 30, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$3,895
$109,567
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 4d
No
polymarket

September 30, 2026

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$74,327
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

March 31, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,483
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of Loopscale launching an officially tradable governance token by December 31, 2027. Currently, the aggregated probability across Polymarket, Predict, and Opinion is 35.0% that Loopscale will launch a token by this date, with a 32.3% probability for launch by December 31, 2026. Resolution will be based on official Loopscale communications – verified via their Twitter/X account and official channels – with credible third-party reporting serving as secondary confirmation. Keep an eye on Loopscale’s official announcements leading up to the resolution date estimate of January 1, 2028, to see if they indicate progress towards a token launch.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms (Polymarket, Predict, Opinion) apply identical resolution criteria: token must be officially launched, actively transferable, and publicly tradable by the deadline specified in each market title.Primary resolution logic: Official Loopscale communications (verified via @Loopscale Twitter/X account and official channels), with consensus of credible third-party reporting as secondary confirmation

Core resolution logic:

  • Token must be officially launched by Loopscale, not merely announced or in development
  • Token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable at the time of resolution
  • Resolution deadline is 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in each market title
  • Announcements alone, pre-launch contracts, or locked tokens do not qualify for YES resolution
  • If token is launched but trading is restricted or paused, market resolves NO

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Token launched after deadline: If Loopscale launches the token after 11:59 PM ET on the specified deadline date, the market resolves NO regardless of how close to the deadline the launch occurs
  • Multiple token launches: If Loopscale launches multiple governance tokens, YES resolution applies if at least one meets all criteria by the deadline
  • Trading restrictions: If a token is launched but trading is restricted, paused, or limited to specific addresses or geographies, the market resolves NO unless trading is actively and publicly available to the general market
  • Bridge or wrapped tokens: Wrapped or bridged versions of a governance token count as launched if they are actively tradable on a major public exchange or DEX by the deadline
Timing: Resolution occurs at 11:59 PM ET on each market's specified deadline date. Markets are independent; an earlier deadline market resolving YES does not automatically resolve later deadline markets to YES, though it provides strong evidence for those markets.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Loopscale (http://x.com/Loopscale) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Loopscale, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Predict

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Loopscale (http://x.com/Loopscale) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Loopscale, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Opinion

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Loopscale (http://x.com/Loopscale) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Loopscale, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the aggregate trading activity for the Loopscale token launch market. Currently, the total volume across both platforms is $10,888,158, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a consensus view of predictions regarding whether Loopscale will launch a token by the specified date. The dashboard combines data from both venues to offer a comprehensive look at market sentiment. Traders on these platforms are expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of a token launch, influencing the overall probabilities displayed.

Unlike traditional spot markets that reflect current prices, prediction market odds represent expectations about future events. In this market, the price reflects the probability of Loopscale launching a token. A higher price suggests greater confidence in a launch, while a lower price indicates skepticism. These probabilities aren't directly comparable to a spot price, as there is no existing token to value. Instead, they function as a forecast, aggregating the collective wisdom of traders regarding the potential for a future token launch. This market offers a unique perspective on the likelihood of this event occurring.

Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk tolerance and information access. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Additionally, the specific market structures and fee mechanisms on each platform can influence trading behavior. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2027? at 35.0%, while Predict leans toward Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026? at 7.0%, demonstrating these differing perspectives.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2028, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will depend on whether Loopscale officially announces and launches a token before the specified date. The determination will be based on publicly available information and widely accepted definitions of a token launch. The outcome will be assessed against verifiable evidence, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official Loopscale announcements for updates that may influence the market's final outcome.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Official announcements from Loopscale regarding their plans for a token launch would be the most influential factor. Positive news about Loopscale's technology, partnerships, or funding could also increase confidence and drive up prices. Conversely, negative news, such as regulatory challenges or technical setbacks, could lower prices. Broader market trends in the cryptocurrency space, including regulatory changes or shifts in investor sentiment, could also indirectly affect the market. Monitoring these events will be crucial for understanding price movements in this market.