TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
US gasoline CPI for May
kalshi

US gasoline CPI for May

Volume:
$351,238

Above 378ㅤ

 - Kalshi

Above 378ㅤ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 10, 2026

Closed: Jun 10, 8:29 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 378ㅤ

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$40,812
N/A
N/A
$37,693
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 377ㅤ

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$16,179
N/A
N/A
$15,348
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 375ㅤ

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,856
N/A
N/A
$5,108
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 360ㅤ

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,512
N/A
N/A
$4,907
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 335ㅤ

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,157
N/A
N/A
$3,758
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 355ㅤ

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,075
N/A
N/A
$3,847
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 365ㅤ

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,088
N/A
N/A
$4,648
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 330ㅤ

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,652
N/A
N/A
$4,319
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 350ㅤ

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,310
N/A
N/A
$3,088
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 376ㅤ

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,419
N/A
N/A
$3,291
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 340ㅤ

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,260
N/A
N/A
$2,299
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 370ㅤ

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,080
N/A
N/A
$2,579
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 345ㅤ

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,029
N/A
N/A
$2,520
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 380ㅤ

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$102,306
N/A
N/A
$70,953
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 385ㅤ

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$38,408
N/A
N/A
$37,843
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 379ㅤ

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35,736
N/A
N/A
$29,103
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 390ㅤ

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31,241
N/A
N/A
$30,675
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 415ㅤ

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,887
N/A
N/A
$8,299
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 405ㅤ

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,049
N/A
N/A
$2,354
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 410ㅤ

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,522
N/A
N/A
$2,920
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 400ㅤ

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,167
N/A
N/A
$3,680
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 395ㅤ

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,491
N/A
N/A
$794
Settled
No
Total markets: 22

Intro

This market tracks whether the average price of gasoline across U.S. cities will exceed 335 cents per gallon during May 2026. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average data for May 2026, as reported by the relevant pricing authority. Watch for the release of May gasoline pricing data on or around June 17, 2026, which will trigger final settlement.

Frequently asked questions

The US gasoline CPI for May dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and trading activity for whether gasoline prices in the U.S. city average will exceed 390 cents per gallon in May 2026. The dashboard displays the current probability of the top outcome, historical price movements, and 24-hour trading volume of $31,279. Total event volume stands at $351,238, reflecting trader interest in this key inflation indicator. This data updates continuously as participants buy and sell prediction shares, providing a live market-derived forecast of gasoline CPI expectations.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect aggregated trader expectations for May 2026 gasoline prices, which often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts. While Wall Street economists and energy analysts typically rely on crude oil futures, seasonal demand patterns, and geopolitical risk models, prediction markets incorporate real-time information and trader conviction through direct financial incentives. Comparing Kalshi odds to consensus energy forecasts from major banks and the EIA can reveal whether markets are pricing in more bullish or bearish scenarios than expert consensus. This comparison helps identify whether traders expect gasoline inflation to surprise relative to official projections.

The US gasoline CPI for May market on Kalshi resolves on Jun 17, 2026. Resolution is determined by official gasoline CPI data published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics for May 2026. The specific metric tracked is the Consumer Price Index for gasoline (all types) in the U.S. city average. Once the BLS releases the May CPI report, the contract settles based on whether the gasoline component meets or exceeds the specified threshold. Traders should monitor BLS announcements and economic calendars for the exact release date and time of the May inflation data.

Several factors could shift odds for May gasoline CPI before resolution. Crude oil price movements—driven by OPEC production decisions, geopolitical tensions, and global supply disruptions—directly influence retail gasoline costs. Seasonal demand patterns, refinery maintenance schedules, and inventory reports from the EIA can signal price direction. Dollar strength affects oil pricing in global markets. Economic growth expectations and recession fears alter fuel demand forecasts. Policy announcements regarding fuel taxes, environmental regulations, or strategic petroleum reserve releases may impact prices. Weekly gasoline price data and futures markets provide real-time signals traders use to adjust positions ahead of the May CPI release.