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Highest temperature in Seoul on June 9?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Seoul on June 9?

Volume:
$264,495

25°C

 - Polymarket

25°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 9, 2026

Closed: Jun 9, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

25°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$34,893
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

24°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$76,433
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53,995
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45,143
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

22°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,840
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

23°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,200
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

21°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,660
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,152
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

19°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,483
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

17°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$373
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

18°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$323
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect real-money consensus from traders on Polymarket, while analyst forecasts typically come from meteorological agencies and weather modeling services. Market odds tend to incorporate broader uncertainty and sentiment, whereas analyst forecasts rely on atmospheric models and historical climate data. Comparing the two reveals whether traders are pricing in more optimism or caution about Seoul's June 9 temperature than official weather predictions suggest, offering a complementary perspective on likely outcomes.

The market resolves on Jun 9, 2026, after the highest temperature in Seoul on June 9 has been recorded and verified. The outcome is determined by official temperature data for that date, typically sourced from Seoul's meteorological authority or recognized weather stations. Resolution occurs once the final daily high is confirmed, at which point the correct outcome contract is settled and traders receive payouts based on their positions.

Major weather pattern shifts, seasonal forecasts, and atmospheric pressure systems over East Asia could significantly move odds. Real-time weather updates, tropical storm activity, or unexpected heat waves in the region may trigger rapid repricing. As June 9 approaches, updated meteorological models and short-term forecasts become more reliable, often causing traders to adjust positions. Additionally, historical temperature records and climate anomalies for early June in Seoul provide context that influences market sentiment and trading behavior.