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CPI year-over-year in Jun 2026?
kalshi

CPI year-over-year in Jun 2026?

Volume:
$1,303,929

Exactly 3.5%

 - Kalshi

Exactly 3.5% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 14, 2026

Closed: Jul 14, 8:29 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Exactly 3.5%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$60,744
N/A
N/A
$1,264
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Exactly 2.3%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$177,363
N/A
N/A
$703
Settled
No
kalshi

Exactly 3.2%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$167,071
N/A
N/A
$732
Settled
No
kalshi

Exactly 3.4%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$158,195
N/A
N/A
$1,397
Settled
No
kalshi

Exactly 2.5%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$157,372
N/A
N/A
$337
Settled
No
kalshi

Exactly 2.4%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$72,283
N/A
N/A
$572
Settled
No
kalshi

Exactly 4.0%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$69,919
N/A
N/A
$53,832
Settled
No
kalshi

Exactly 3.0%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$66,387
N/A
N/A
$890
Settled
No
kalshi

Exactly 2.6%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$53,056
N/A
N/A
$492
Settled
No
kalshi

Exactly 3.8%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50,028
N/A
N/A
$41,469
Settled
No
kalshi

Exactly 2.8%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$49,463
N/A
N/A
$3,023
Settled
No
kalshi

Exactly 3.9%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$47,131
N/A
N/A
$29,514
Settled
No
kalshi

Exactly 3.7%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$43,977
N/A
N/A
$24,170
Settled
No
kalshi

Exactly 2.2%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$38,847
N/A
N/A
$360
Settled
No
kalshi

Exactly 3.1%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,767
N/A
N/A
$496
Settled
No
kalshi

Exactly 4.1%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,607
N/A
N/A
$23,419
Settled
No
kalshi

Exactly 4.2%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,586
N/A
N/A
$4,903
Settled
No
kalshi

Exactly 4.3%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,240
N/A
N/A
$4,402
Settled
No
kalshi

Exactly 2.0%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,933
N/A
N/A
$745
Settled
No
kalshi

Exactly 4.5%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,770
N/A
N/A
$1,995
Settled
No
kalshi

Exactly 2.7%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,743
N/A
N/A
$349
Settled
No
kalshi

Exactly 4.4%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,573
N/A
N/A
$1,616
Settled
No
kalshi

Exactly 3.6%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,849
N/A
N/A
$2,597
Settled
No
kalshi

Exactly 3.3%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,581
N/A
N/A
$1,318
Settled
No
kalshi

Exactly 2.9%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,153
N/A
N/A
$475
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 26

Intro

This market tracks whether the Consumer Price Index will show year-over-year inflation of exactly 3.3% in June 2026. On Kalshi, the probability of this outcome stands at 61.0%, with resolution determined by the official CPI release from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Watch for the June 2026 CPI report, scheduled for release on July 14, 2026, which will settle this market based on the year-over-year inflation figure.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the Consumer Price Index year-over-year percentage reported for June 2026. Each outcome represents a specific inflation rate in 0.1% increments ranging from 2.0% to 4.5%. The market resolves to Yes for the outcome matching the official CPI year-over-year figure released for that month. If the actual CPI falls outside the specified range, no outcome resolves affirmatively.

Frequently asked questions

The PredictionHero dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the CPI year-over-year in Jun 2026 event on Kalshi. You can monitor the current implied probability of outcomes, historical price movements, and liquidity metrics. The dashboard displays $1,303,929 in total group volume and $26,373 in 24-hour trading activity, giving you a snapshot of market conviction and trader interest in how inflation will trend heading into mid-2026.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money traders' expectations for June 2026 CPI inflation, often incorporating forward guidance from the Federal Reserve and consensus economist surveys. While traditional analyst forecasts tend to cluster around central bank projections, prediction markets can diverge when traders price in tail risks, policy surprises, or supply-chain shocks. Comparing the market's implied probability to Bloomberg consensus or Federal Reserve dot-plot expectations reveals whether traders are pricing in higher or lower inflation than official forecasters anticipate.

The CPI year-over-year in Jun 2026 market resolves on Jul 14, 2026, after the official inflation data for June 2026 is released. The outcome is determined by the actual year-over-year Consumer Price Index figure published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, which measures the percentage change in prices paid by consumers compared to the same month one year prior. This is the definitive economic statistic used to settle all related prediction contracts.

Several catalysts could shift CPI year-over-year in Jun 2026 odds before resolution. Monthly inflation prints in the months leading up to June will provide direct signals about the trend. Federal Reserve policy decisions and interest-rate guidance influence inflation expectations. Energy prices, particularly oil, significantly impact headline CPI. Supply-chain disruptions, wage growth data, and consumer demand shifts all feed into inflation dynamics. Geopolitical events, trade policy changes, and unexpected fiscal stimulus could also move the market as traders reassess the inflation trajectory.