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395,664

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2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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61%

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Colorado Democratic Senate Primary Winner
kalshi
polymarket

Colorado Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Volume:
$1,078,337

John Hickenlooper

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 1, 2026

Closed: Jun 30, 9:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

John Hickenlooper

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$347,250
N/A
N/A
$235,667
Settled
Yes
polymarket

John Hickenlooper

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$95,464
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Julie Gonzales

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$361,963
$94,269
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Julie Gonzales

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$509,724
N/A
N/A
$345,052
Settled
No
polymarket

Anthony Zimpfer

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$340,497
$4,352
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Nichole Miner

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$337,914
$3,568
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Nichole Miner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,371
N/A
N/A
$3,359
Settled
No
polymarket

Michael Scanlon

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$340,670
$3,542
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Karen Breslin

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$5,752
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Karen Breslin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,456
N/A
N/A
$4,184
Settled
No
polymarket

Brashad Hasley

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$4,589
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person E

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person G

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person I

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person K

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person M

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person O

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person B

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person D

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person F

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person H

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person J

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person L

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person N

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 26

Intro

This market tracks whether John Hickenlooper will secure the Democratic Party's nomination for the 2026 U.S. Senate seat from Colorado. Aggregated data from Polymarket and Kalshi shows a consensus probability of 89.5% for Hickenlooper to win the primary. Resolution will be determined by the official Colorado Democratic Party announcement of the 2026 Senate primary winner and nominee. Watch for the primary election results expected by June 30, 2026, which will settle this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on which individual wins the Democratic Party nomination for the 2026 Colorado Senate seat, with resolution triggered by official party announcement and acceptance of the nomination.Primary resolution logic: Official Colorado Democratic Party announcement of the 2026 Senate primary winner and nominee

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves YES if and only if the named individual wins the Democratic primary AND accepts the nomination.
  • Market resolves NO if the individual does not win the primary, declines the nomination, or withdraws.
  • Exactly ONE market in the group will resolve YES (the winner of the primary).
  • If no 2026 Colorado Democratic Senate Primary takes place, all individual markets resolve NO and the 'Other' or catch-all market resolves YES.
  • Resolution is based on official Colorado Democratic Party announcement, with overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as secondary confirmation.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Primary Cancellation or Non-Occurrence: If no 2026 Colorado Democratic Senate Primary takes place, all individual nominee markets resolve NO and the catch-all 'Other' category resolves YES.
  • Post-Nomination Withdrawal: If a nominee wins the primary but withdraws or declines acceptance after the official announcement, that market resolves NO.
  • Contested or Delayed Results: Resolution waits for official Colorado Democratic Party announcement; overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may substitute if official announcement is delayed or disputed.
Timing: Resolution occurs upon official Colorado Democratic Party announcement of the primary winner and acceptance of the nomination, not upon primary voting results alone.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Colorado. If no 2026 Colorado Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Colorado Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Kalshi

If John Hickenlooper wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Senate Colorado Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes. If Karen Breslin wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Senate Colorado Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nichole Miner wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Senate Colorado Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes. If Julie Gonzales wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Senate Colorado Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi often diverge from traditional polling because they incorporate real-money incentives, insider information, and dynamic market-making. While polls capture voter preference at a snapshot in time, prediction markets reflect traders' beliefs about the actual primary outcome, weighted by financial risk. For the Colorado Democratic Senate Primary, market odds may lead or lag polling depending on recent campaign developments, fundraising data, or endorsements. Comparing the two reveals whether the market is pricing in factors polls have not yet captured or whether consensus is aligned.