TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit Week of March 30 2026? Odds & Prediction Markets
Closed: Apr 3, 5:00 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
This event group tracks whether Silver (XAGUSD) will reach any of 40 specified price thresholds during the week of March 30, 2026, with settlement determined by the closing price of the 1-minute candlestick on April 03, 2026 at 5 PM EDT. The event resolves to 'Yes' if silver closes above any single threshold price ranging from $48.49 to $87.49. This represents a multi-tier price-hit prediction market where traders are essentially betting on silver's upside movement within a defined settlement window.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally different resolution methodologies. Kalshi resolves based on a single specific close price at a fixed moment (April 03, 2026 at 5 PM EDT), while Polymarket resolves based on whether any 1-minute candle HIGH or LOW during the entire week of March 30–April 3, 2026 reaches specified price levels. These are incompatible settlement approaches that will produce different outcomes.Hero Tip:
If you trade this event, understand that Kalshi bets on one specific 1-minute close price at one specific time, whereas Polymarket bets on whether the price touches a level at any point during the week. A price that hits $76 on Monday but closes at $50 on Friday at 5 PM EDT will resolve YES on Polymarket but NO on Kalshi. Do not assume the same bet wins on both platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Distinct stance: Kalshi resolves based exclusively on the close price of the 1-minute candlestick on April 03, 2026 at 5 PM EDT. All 50 conditions state 'If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on April 03, 2026 at 5 PM EDT is above [price], then the market resolves to Yes.' The resolution is binary: if that single close price exceeds any of the 50 thresholds (ranging from $38.49 to $87.49), the market resolves YES; otherwise NO.Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket resolves based on whether any 1-minute candle during the entire week of March 30–April 3, 2026 achieves a HIGH or LOW price at or beyond specified levels. The description states 'This market will resolve to Yes if, at any point during the week of March 30 2026, any 1-minute candle for Silver (XAGUSD) has a final High price equal to or above the listed price.' There are 17 separate markets covering HIGH prices ($70–$76) and LOW prices ($63–$69), each resolving independently based on whether that price level is touched at any time during the week.
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