TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit Week of March 30 2026?
kalshi
polymarket

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit Week of March 30 2026?

Volume:
$55,215

above $58.49

 - Kalshi

above $58.49 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 4, 2026

Closed: Apr 3, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

above $58.49

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,690
N/A
N/A
$1,601
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $57.49

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,682
N/A
N/A
$1,428
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $59.49

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,707
N/A
N/A
$1,286
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $63.49

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,629
N/A
N/A
$1,533
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $72

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,483
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $62.49

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,459
N/A
N/A
$1,167
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $72.49

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,419
N/A
N/A
$1,256
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $60.49

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,397
N/A
N/A
$966
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $76

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,383
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $69.49

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,335
N/A
N/A
$886
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $68

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,312
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $75

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,231
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $61.49

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,143
N/A
N/A
$1,052
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $70.49

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,025
N/A
N/A
$771
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $74

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$930
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $73

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$922
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $56.49

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$860
N/A
N/A
$837
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $70

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$755
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $69

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$755
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $64.49

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$502
N/A
N/A
$499
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $55.49

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$501
N/A
N/A
$501
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $71.49

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$480
N/A
N/A
$214
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $71

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$410
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $68.49

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$380
N/A
N/A
$276
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $67.49

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$377
N/A
N/A
$359
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 64

Description

This event group tracks whether Silver (XAGUSD) will reach any of 40 specified price thresholds during the week of March 30, 2026, with settlement determined by the closing price of the 1-minute candlestick on April 03, 2026 at 5 PM EDT. The event resolves to 'Yes' if silver closes above any single threshold price ranging from $48.49 to $87.49. This represents a multi-tier price-hit prediction market where traders are essentially betting on silver's upside movement within a defined settlement window.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally different resolution methodologies. Kalshi resolves based on a single specific close price at a fixed moment (April 03, 2026 at 5 PM EDT), while Polymarket resolves based on whether any 1-minute candle HIGH or LOW during the entire week of March 30–April 3, 2026 reaches specified price levels. These are incompatible settlement approaches that will produce different outcomes.Hero tip: If you trade this event, understand that Kalshi bets on one specific 1-minute close price at one specific time, whereas Polymarket bets on whether the price touches a level at any point during the week. A price that hits $76 on Monday but closes at $50 on Friday at 5 PM EDT will resolve YES on Polymarket but NO on Kalshi. Do not assume the same bet wins on both platforms.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi resolves based exclusively on the close price of the 1-minute candlestick on April 03, 2026 at 5 PM EDT. All 50 conditions state 'If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on April 03, 2026 at 5 PM EDT is above [price], then the market resolves to Yes.' The resolution is binary: if that single close price exceeds any of the 50 thresholds (ranging from $38.49 to $87.49), the market resolves YES; otherwise NO.
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket resolves based on whether any 1-minute candle during the entire week of March 30–April 3, 2026 achieves a HIGH or LOW price at or beyond specified levels. The description states 'This market will resolve to Yes if, at any point during the week of March 30 2026, any 1-minute candle for Silver (XAGUSD) has a final High price equal to or above the listed price.' There are 17 separate markets covering HIGH prices ($70–$76) and LOW prices ($63–$69), each resolving independently based on whether that price level is touched at any time during the week.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.