TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?
Total volume:
$28,925,118
Volume 24h:
$1,303,821
22%
Liquidity:
$3,019,050
13%
Open interest:
$6,058,288
0%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group comprises binary prediction markets asking whether WTI Crude Oil futures will reach specific price thresholds (highs and lows) at any point during May 2026. Markets are listed across Polymarket and Predict platforms, with identical resolution criteria: a 'Yes' outcome requires the Active Month WTI futures contract to touch or exceed (for highs) or touch or fall below (for lows) the stated price during any 1-minute candle within May 2026 trading hours.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms specify identical resolution mechanics: Pyth 1-minute candle data for Active Month WTI futures, CME contract specifications for active month transitions, and CME Group fallback data, with no material divergence in threshold logic, timing, or source hierarchy.
Primary resolution logic:
Pyth Data (https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI) configured for 1-minute candles; CME Group official daily high/low prices serve as fallback if Pyth data is unavailable due to system outage or technical disruption.Core resolution logic:
- For HIGH markets: 'Yes' if any 1-minute candle's final High price equals or exceeds the stated threshold during May 2026 trading sessions; 'No' otherwise.
- For LOW markets: 'Yes' if any 1-minute candle's final Low price equals or falls below the stated threshold during May 2026 trading sessions; 'No' otherwise.
- Active Month is the nearest listed WTI futures contract; transitions to the next contract at 6:00 PM ET (start of trading session) two business days prior to the current contract's last trading day.
- Last trading day for WTI (CL) futures is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding delivery month, or four business days prior if the 25th is not a business day.
- Only prices achieved during standard CME trading hours (6:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00 PM ET Friday, with 5:00-6:00 PM ET daily break) are considered; holiday or special-session hours may modify this schedule.
- Prices are used exactly as published by Pyth without rounding.
- If Active Month contract does not trade at all during May 2026, all markets resolve 'No'.
- In event of contract specification change, feed change, or structural modification, resolution is based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Pyth Data Unavailability: If Pyth 1-minute candle data is unavailable due to system outage, data failure, or technical disruption, the official daily high or low price published by CME Group for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract is used as fallback to determine whether the threshold was reached during the applicable trading session.
- No Trading Activity: If the Active Month WTI futures contract does not trade at all during the applicable May 2026 time frame, all markets in this group resolve to 'No'.
- Active Month Transition: The active month changes at 6:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to the current contract's last trading day. For the final three trading sessions of a contract, the next listed contract is the active month. Resolution uses only the Active Month contract's prices.
- Contract Specification Changes: If a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification occurs during May 2026, resolution is based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth, ensuring continuity across contract transitions.
- Exact Price Touch: Markets resolve 'Yes' if the threshold price is touched exactly (equals or exceeds for highs; equals or falls below for lows) during any 1-minute candle. Prices are used exactly as published by Pyth without rounding.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after May 2026 concludes. For HIGH markets, verification checks all 1-minute candles' High prices during May 2026 trading sessions. For LOW markets, verification checks all 1-minute candles' Low prices during May 2026 trading sessions. The Active Month contract is tracked according to CME specifications, with transitions occurring two business days prior to each contract's last trading day.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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