TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of April 6 2026? Odds & Prediction Markets
Volume:
$1,518,691
↑ $115 100%
↓ $105 100%
$105.99 or below 100%
Closed: Apr 10, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of April 6 2026?
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally different resolution methodologies. Kalshi resolves based on the settle price on a single date (April 10, 2026), while Polymarket resolves based on whether specific price levels are touched at any point during the entire week of April 6-10, 2026.Hero Tip:
If you trade these markets, understand that Kalshi's outcome depends solely on where WTI closes on April 10, while Polymarket's outcomes depend on intraday volatility and whether price extremes are reached during the week. A market could resolve YES on Polymarket (price touched $115) but NO on Kalshi (if April 10 settle is below $106 or above $118.99). Conversely, Kalshi could resolve YES for any settle between $106-$118.99, but Polymarket's specific high/low targets might not be hit.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi resolves based on the front-month WTI settle price on a single specific date (April 10, 2026). The market uses 15 mutually exclusive price bands ($0-$106, $106-$107, $107-$108, through $118+), each resolving YES if the April 10 settle falls within that band. All 15 markets cannot resolve YES simultaneously; exactly one will resolve YES based on the single settle price on that date. Key quote: 'If the front-month settle price for a barrel of West Texas Intermediate oil on April 10, 2026 is [within band], then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Outlier: Polymarket resolves based on whether specific price levels ($80, $85, $90, $95, $100, $105, $110 for lows; $115, $120, $125, $130, $135, $140, $145 for highs) are touched at any point during the entire week of April 6-10, 2026, using 1-minute candle data from the Active Month WTI futures contract. Each market is independent; multiple markets can resolve YES if price ranges are wide enough. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Yes if, at any point during the week of April 6 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final High/Low price equal to or [above/below] the listed price.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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