TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
What will Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) hit Week of April 6 2026? Odds & Prediction Markets
Volume:
$47,277
↑ $590 100%
↑ $585 100%
25,100 to 25,199.99 100%
Closed: Apr 10, 7:00 PM EST
Kalshi
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
What will Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) hit Week of April 6 2026?
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi resolve on fundamentally different metrics and timeframes. Polymarket settles on whether QQQ hits specific price levels (HIGH/LOW) during any 1-minute candle in the week of April 6–12, 2026, using Pyth as the primary source. Kalshi settles exclusively on the end-of-day Nasdaq 100 index value on April 10, 2026 only, across 100-point bands, making the two platforms measure entirely different underlying events with no logical equivalence.Hero Tip:
These are not the same market. Polymarket bets on intraday price discovery (whether QQQ touches $615 at any point during the week); Kalshi bets on a single closing value on one specific day (April 10). You could win on Polymarket and lose on Kalshi, or vice versa, because they measure different things. Do not assume arbitrage or hedge between them.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Outlier: Resolves YES if QQQ hits specified HIGH or LOW prices during any 1-minute candle within the full week of April 6–12, 2026, during regular trading hours (9:30 AM–4:00 PM ET). Uses Pyth 1-minute candle data as primary source with exchange daily high/low as fallback. Example: 'This market will resolve to Yes if, at any point during the week of April 6 2026, any 1-minute candle for Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) has a final High price equal to or above the listed price.'Kalshi:
Outlier: Resolves YES if the end-of-day Nasdaq 100 index value on April 10, 2026 falls within one of 29 specified 100-point bands (e.g., 22600–22699.9900, 23100–23199.9900, etc.), or below 22600, or above 25399.9900. Measures only a single closing price on a single day, not intraday price discovery. Example: 'If the end-of-day Nasdaq 100 index value on April 10, 2026 is between 22600 and 22699.9900, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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