TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
What will Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) hit Week of April 6 2026?
polymarket
kalshi

What will Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) hit Week of April 6 2026?

Volume:
$47,277

25,100 to 25,199.99

 - Kalshi

25,100 to 25,199.99 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 11, 2026

Closed: Apr 10, 7:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

25,100 to 25,199.99

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,442
N/A
N/A
$1,049
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $590

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$827
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $585

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$485
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $580

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$354
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $610

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$188
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $595

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$151
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $600

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$142
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $605

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$142
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

24,900 to 24,999.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,127
N/A
N/A
$6,840
Settled
No
kalshi

25,400 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,617
N/A
N/A
$4,407
Settled
No
kalshi

25,200 to 25,299.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,011
N/A
N/A
$2,714
Settled
No
kalshi

25,300 to 25,399.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,546
N/A
N/A
$2,135
Settled
No
kalshi

22,599.99 or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,513
N/A
N/A
$2,298
Settled
No
kalshi

25,000 to 25,099.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,212
N/A
N/A
$2,194
Settled
No
kalshi

23,600 to 23,699.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,594
N/A
N/A
$1,594
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ $570

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,137
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ $555

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$627
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

24,800 to 24,899.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$549
N/A
N/A
$530
Settled
No
kalshi

23,300 to 23,399.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$526
N/A
N/A
$332
Settled
No
kalshi

23,800 to 23,899.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$420
N/A
N/A
$285
Settled
No
kalshi

24,700 to 24,799.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$401
N/A
N/A
$241
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ $560

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$381
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

22,900 to 22,999.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$351
N/A
N/A
$229
Settled
No
kalshi

23,200 to 23,299.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$333
N/A
N/A
$205
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ $565

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$331
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 44

Description

What will Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) hit Week of April 6 2026?

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi resolve on fundamentally different metrics and timeframes. Polymarket settles on whether QQQ hits specific price levels (HIGH/LOW) during any 1-minute candle in the week of April 6–12, 2026, using Pyth as the primary source. Kalshi settles exclusively on the end-of-day Nasdaq 100 index value on April 10, 2026 only, across 100-point bands, making the two platforms measure entirely different underlying events with no logical equivalence.Hero tip: These are not the same market. Polymarket bets on intraday price discovery (whether QQQ touches $615 at any point during the week); Kalshi bets on a single closing value on one specific day (April 10). You could win on Polymarket and lose on Kalshi, or vice versa, because they measure different things. Do not assume arbitrage or hedge between them.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Outlier: Resolves YES if QQQ hits specified HIGH or LOW prices during any 1-minute candle within the full week of April 6–12, 2026, during regular trading hours (9:30 AM–4:00 PM ET). Uses Pyth 1-minute candle data as primary source with exchange daily high/low as fallback. Example: 'This market will resolve to Yes if, at any point during the week of April 6 2026, any 1-minute candle for Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) has a final High price equal to or above the listed price.'
  • Kalshi: Outlier: Resolves YES if the end-of-day Nasdaq 100 index value on April 10, 2026 falls within one of 29 specified 100-point bands (e.g., 22600–22699.9900, 23100–23199.9900, etc.), or below 22600, or above 25399.9900. Measures only a single closing price on a single day, not intraday price discovery. Example: 'If the end-of-day Nasdaq 100 index value on April 10, 2026 is between 22600 and 22699.9900, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.