TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.6b
24H VOL:
$215,176,776
24H TRANSACTIONS:
595,647,402
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,321,740,341
576,656
Markets across
14,624
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,045
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Time left: 08d:16h:34m
Uzbekistan vs Colombia Winner?
$
$20
$50
$100
$500
Trade on Kalshi
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 71¢ buys you 141 shares | Odds: 71% Total Payout: $141 | Net Profit: $41 Multiplier: 1.41x | ROI: 41% APY not meaningful 8 days to resolution
Trade on Predict
At 70¢ buys you 143 shares | Odds: 70% Total Payout: $143 | Net Profit: $43 Multiplier: 1.43x | ROI: 43% APY not meaningful 8 days to resolution
Trade on Polymarket
At 70¢ buys you 143 shares | Odds: 70% Total Payout: $143 | Net Profit: $43 Multiplier: 1.43x | ROI: 43% APY not meaningful 8 days to resolution
Trade on Limitless
At 69.5¢ buys you 144 shares | Odds: 70% Total Payout: $144 | Net Profit: $44 Multiplier: 1.44x | ROI: 44% APY not meaningful 9 days to resolutionIntro
This market tracks whether Colombia will defeat Uzbekistan in their FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 17, 2026. Aggregating data from Kalshi, Polymarket, Limitless, and Predict, the consensus probability favors a Colombia victory at 70.5%. Resolution will be determined by the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Watch for team news and lineup announcements in the days leading up to the June 17 kickoff, as injuries or tactical changes could shift market expectations.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Date mismatch (June 17 vs June 18) and asymmetric cancellation/non-completion logic across platforms. Limitless specifies June 18 while other platforms specify June 17. Cancellation and non-completion scenarios resolve differently for Draw markets versus Win markets.Hero Tip:
Cross-check the official FIFA World Cup 2026 schedule to confirm the correct match date. Be aware that if the match is canceled or not completed by the deadline, Draw markets on Polymarket, Predict, and Limitless will resolve YES while Uzbekistan and Colombia Win markets will resolve NO, creating potential arbitrage or hedge opportunities. Kalshi's resolution logic does not explicitly address cancellation scenarios.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Resolves all three outcomes (Uzbekistan win, Tie, Colombia win) to YES based on match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on June 17, 2026. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Quote: 'If Tie wins the Uzbekistan vs Colombia professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'Limitless:
Specifies June 18, 2026 (date mismatch). Uzbekistan and Colombia markets resolve NO if match not completed by July 18, 2026, 02:00 UTC. Draw market resolves YES if match not completed or ends in draw. Quote: 'If the match is not completed with an official result by July 18, 2026, 02:00 UTC, the market will resolve to YES' (for Draw).Polymarket:
Specifies June 17, 2026. Uzbekistan and Colombia markets resolve NO if canceled with no make-up game. Draw market resolves YES if canceled. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (for Draw).Predict:
Specifies June 17, 2026. Identical logic to Polymarket: Uzbekistan and Colombia markets resolve NO if canceled; Draw market resolves YES if canceled. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (for Draw).
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds for Uzbekistan vs. Colombia often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader conviction rather than fixed bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance liability; prediction markets adjust based on supply and demand from thousands of independent traders. Comparing the two reveals whether the crowd sees value the books have missed. Prediction markets typically tighten around major events, while sportsbooks may lag or hold wider spreads to protect margins.
Kalshi and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Kalshi and Limitless serve different trader bases, use distinct market designs, and may list slightly different outcome definitions or event dates. Kalshi currently shows for its top outcome, while Limitless shows , a spread of percentage points. Liquidity depth, regulatory constraints, and fee structures also influence pricing. These gaps create arbitrage opportunities for traders monitoring both venues, though differences typically narrow as the event date approaches.
Key catalysts for Uzbekistan vs. Colombia odds include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, and recent form. Pre-match press conferences and tactical leaks can shift sentiment. Weather conditions, venue factors, and head-to-head history influence trader positioning. Major betting syndicates entering either side can trigger sharp moves. Social media momentum and expert predictions also sway retail traders. Monitor official team accounts and sports news feeds for updates that could reshape market consensus before kickoff.
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