TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.6b
24H VOL:
$215,176,776
24H TRANSACTIONS:
595,647,402
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,321,740,341
576,656
Markets across
14,624
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,045
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Time left: 12d:12h:35m
Uruguay vs Cape Verde Winner?
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Trade on Kalshi
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 69¢ buys you 145 shares | Odds: 69% Total Payout: $145 | Net Profit: $45 Multiplier: 1.45x | ROI: 45% APY not meaningful 12 days to resolution
Trade on Polymarket
At 69¢ buys you 145 shares | Odds: 69% Total Payout: $145 | Net Profit: $45 Multiplier: 1.45x | ROI: 45% APY not meaningful 12 days to resolution
Trade on Limitless
At 67.4¢ buys you 148 shares | Odds: 67% Total Payout: $148 | Net Profit: $48 Multiplier: 1.48x | ROI: 48% APY not meaningful 13 days to resolution
Trade on Predict
At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% APY not meaningful 12 days to resolutionIntro
This market tracks whether Uruguay will defeat Cabo Verde in their FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 21, 2026. Aggregating data from Kalshi, Polymarket, Limitless, and Predict, the consensus probability of a Uruguay win stands at 69.5%. Resolution is determined by the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Watch for team news and lineup announcements in the days leading up to the June 21 kickoff, as injuries or roster changes could shift market expectations.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation and no-result scenarios are handled inconsistently across platforms, particularly for draw outcomes versus win outcomes, and Kalshi lacks explicit cancellation guidance.Hero Tip:
If the match is postponed, all platforms keep markets open until completion. If canceled with no makeup game, expect draw markets to resolve YES on Polymarket/Predict/Limitless, while win markets resolve NO. Kalshi's behavior is undefined—contact support before the deadline to confirm cancellation protocol.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket & Predict:
Uruguay and Cabo Verde win markets resolve NO if game is canceled with no makeup. Draw market resolves YES if game is canceled with no makeup. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to [NO for wins / YES for draw].'Limitless:
All three markets (Uruguay, Cabo Verde, Draw) resolve based on completion by July 21, 2026, 22:00 UTC. Draw resolves YES if not completed by deadline; wins resolve NO if not completed. Quote: 'If the match is not completed with an official result by July 21, 2026, 22:00 UTC, the market will resolve to [NO for wins / YES for draw].'Kalshi:
Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation or no-result clause. All three outcomes (Uruguay, Tie, Cabo Verde) resolve YES if their respective outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No guidance on what happens if match is not played.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction markets like Kalshi and Limitless operate independently of traditional sportsbooks, often reflecting different risk profiles and trader bases. While sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, prediction markets aggregate decentralized trader beliefs. Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde odds on prediction platforms may diverge from sportsbook lines due to differences in liquidity, regulatory constraints, and the types of participants active on each venue. Comparing both sources provides a fuller picture: sportsbooks offer tighter spreads and guaranteed payouts, while prediction markets can reveal edge through crowd-sourced probability estimates.
Kalshi and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Kalshi and Limitless serve distinct user bases and operate under different regulatory frameworks, creating natural price variation. Kalshi currently shows for Uruguay, while Limitless reflects , a spread of percentage points. Differences arise from varying liquidity depths, contract design nuances, and the timing of large trades on each platform. Additionally, each platform attracts traders with different information sets and risk tolerances, so consensus prices can lag or lead depending on which venue receives fresh order flow first.
The Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde market is scheduled to resolve on Jun 22, 2026. Resolution hinges on the official match result—whether Uruguay wins, Cabo Verde wins, or the match ends in a draw. Each platform applies its own resolution criteria and data sources to determine the final outcome. Traders should verify the exact settlement rules on Kalshi and Limitless before placing positions, as contract terms and tie-handling may differ between venues.
Several catalysts may shift Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde odds before Jun 22, 2026. Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly alter perceived match quality. Pre-match analysis, expert commentary, and betting syndicate activity often drive late repricing on Kalshi and Limitless. Weather conditions, venue factors, and recent form updates also influence trader positioning. Additionally, sharp money flowing into either side can create rapid price movements, especially as match day approaches and information becomes more concrete. Monitor both platforms for volume spikes signaling conviction shifts.
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