TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.6b
24H VOL:
$215,176,776
24H TRANSACTIONS:
595,647,402
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,321,740,341
576,656
Markets across
14,624
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,045
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Time left: 15d:08h:39m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
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Trade on Predict
At 96¢ buys you 104 shares | Odds: 96% Total Payout: $104 | Net Profit: $4 Multiplier: 1.04x | ROI: 4% | APY: 170% 15 days to resolution
Trade on Kalshi
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 46¢ buys you 217 shares | Odds: 46% Total Payout: $217 | Net Profit: $117 Multiplier: 2.17x | ROI: 117% | APY: 170% 15 days to resolution
Trade on Limitless
At 45.5¢ buys you 220 shares | Odds: 46% Total Payout: $220 | Net Profit: $120 Multiplier: 2.20x | ROI: 120% | APY: 170% 16 days to resolution
Trade on Polymarket
At 45¢ buys you 222 shares | Odds: 45% Total Payout: $222 | Net Profit: $122 Multiplier: 2.22x | ROI: 122% | APY: 170% 15 days to resolutionIntro
This market tracks the outcome of the FIFA World Cup match between Switzerland and Canada scheduled for June 24, 2026. Aggregating data from Kalshi, Polymarket, Limitless, and Predict, the consensus probability for Canada to win the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time stands at 56.0%. The resolution is determined by the official result of the professional FIFA World Cup soccer game. Watch for any fixture changes or weather-related delays leading up to the June 24, 2026 kickoff, as these could impact both team preparation and market positioning.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation and no-result scenarios trigger different resolution outcomes across platforms. Polymarket's Draw market and Limitless Draw market resolve YES on cancellation or no official result, while win markets universally resolve NO. This creates a logical asymmetry where a single event (game cancellation) produces opposite outcomes on the same platform.Hero Tip:
Monitor FIFA.com and official tournament communications for any postponement, rescheduling, or cancellation notices. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket Draw and Limitless Draw traders profit while win market traders lose. Conversely, if the match is completed with any result, all markets resolve according to the final 90-minute score. Avoid over-leveraging on any single outcome; the cancellation scenario, while low-probability, creates significant cross-platform settlement risk.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket (Draw market):
Resolves YES if game ends in draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, OR if game is canceled entirely with no make-up. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes'.Polymarket (Win markets - Switzerland/Canada):
Resolves YES only if the named team wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Resolves NO if canceled with no make-up. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No'.Kalshi (All outcomes):
All three outcomes (Switzerland win, Canada win, Draw) resolve YES only if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause; implies NO resolution or market remains open.Limitless (Draw market):
Resolves YES if match ends in draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, OR if match is not completed with official result by July 24, 2026, 19:00 UTC. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to YES if the match specified in the title ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), or if the match is not completed with an official result by July 24, 2026, 19:00 UTC'.Limitless (Win markets - Switzerland/Canada):
Resolves YES only if the named club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Resolves NO if club does not win or if match is not completed with official result by July 24, 2026, 19:00 UTC.Predict (All outcomes):
Switzerland and Canada win markets resolve YES only if that team wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; resolve NO if canceled with no make-up. Draw market resolves YES if match ends in draw OR if canceled with no make-up. Asymmetry mirrors Polymarket.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction markets like Kalshi and Limitless often reflect sharper, crowd-sourced pricing than traditional sportsbooks because traders have direct financial incentive to price outcomes accurately. Sportsbooks build in margin and manage liability across many bettors, while prediction markets aggregate dispersed information from thousands of participants. For Switzerland vs. Canada, comparing the consensus probability on this dashboard to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether the market is pricing in factors—such as recent form, injuries, or public bias—that oddsmakers have missed or weighted differently.
Kalshi and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Kalshi and Limitless operate with different user bases, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which can cause temporary price gaps. Kalshi currently shows for its top outcome, while Limitless reflects for its leading scenario, a spread of percentage points. These differences arise from varying order flow, risk appetite among traders on each platform, and distinct market microstructure. Arbitrageurs typically exploit such gaps, but friction costs and withdrawal delays can prevent instant convergence, especially on lower-volume outcomes.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, and recent form in qualifying or warm-up matches. Tactical shifts, coaching changes, or public statements from managers can shift market sentiment. Weather conditions on match day and venue factors may also influence pricing. Additionally, sharp money flowing into one side on Kalshi or Limitless can trigger cascading moves as other traders react. Monitor sports media, official team channels, and cross-platform volume spikes to stay ahead of market repricing.
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