TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.6b
24H VOL:
$215,176,776
24H TRANSACTIONS:
595,647,402
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,321,740,341
576,656
Markets across
14,624
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,045
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Time left: 15d:09h:56m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?
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$500
Trade on Polymarket
At 75¢ buys you 133 shares | Odds: 75% Total Payout: $133 | Net Profit: $33 Multiplier: 1.33x | ROI: 33% APY not meaningful 15 days to resolution
Trade on Kalshi
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 73¢ buys you 137 shares | Odds: 73% Total Payout: $137 | Net Profit: $37 Multiplier: 1.37x | ROI: 37% APY not meaningful 15 days to resolution
Trade on Limitless
At 73¢ buys you 137 shares | Odds: 73% Total Payout: $137 | Net Profit: $37 Multiplier: 1.37x | ROI: 37% APY not meaningful 16 days to resolution
Trade on Predict
At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% APY not meaningful 15 days to resolutionIntro
This market tracks whether Morocco will defeat Haiti in their FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 24, 2026. Aggregating odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, Limitless, and Predict, the consensus probability of a Morocco victory stands at 74.5%. Resolution will be determined by the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Watch for any pre-match developments or team news in the days leading up to the Wednesday, June 24 kickoff that could shift expectations.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi contains a logical contradiction where all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Tie, Morocco win, Haiti win) are defined to resolve to Yes. Additionally, Draw market cancellation clauses diverge between Polymarket/Predict (Draw=Yes on cancellation) and Limitless (Draw=Yes on non-completion by July 24 deadline).Hero Tip:
Kalshi markets are fundamentally unresolvable due to logical contradiction. For other platforms, treat Draw as a special case: Polymarket/Predict resolve Draw to Yes only if game is canceled with no make-up; Limitless resolves Draw to Yes if no official result by July 24, 2026, 22:00 UTC. Morocco and Haiti win markets resolve No in cancellation scenarios across all platforms. Prioritize Polymarket, Predict, or Limitless; avoid Kalshi.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Logical contradiction: all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Tie, Morocco win, Haiti win) are each defined to resolve to Yes after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. This makes the market unresolvable as only one outcome can occur. Key Quote: 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Morocco wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Haiti wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Draw market resolves Yes if game is canceled with no make-up game; Morocco and Haiti win markets resolve No in cancellation. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "Yes"' (Draw only).Predict:
Identical to Polymarket: Draw resolves Yes on cancellation with no make-up; Morocco and Haiti resolve No. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "Yes"' (Draw only).Limitless:
Draw market resolves Yes if match is not completed with official result by July 24, 2026, 22:00 UTC (covers cancellation, postponement, and non-completion scenarios). Morocco and Haiti markets resolve No if not completed by deadline. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to "YES" if the match specified in the title ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time...or if the match is not completed with an official result by July 24, 2026, 22:00 UTC.'
Frequently asked questions
Prediction markets like Kalshi and Limitless operate independently of traditional sportsbooks, often reflecting different liquidity pools, trader demographics, and risk appetites. While sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, prediction markets aggregate decentralized beliefs through continuous trading. For Morocco vs. Haiti, the prediction market consensus may diverge from sportsbook lines due to different information flows, leverage availability, and settlement rules. Comparing both sources helps identify where smart money is positioning relative to conventional betting markets.
Kalshi and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Kalshi and Limitless serve distinct user bases with different regulatory frameworks, fee structures, and market depth. Kalshi currently shows for Morocco, while Limitless reflects , a spread of percentage points. These gaps arise from timing lags in information dissemination, varying liquidity at different price levels, and platform-specific trading mechanics. Arbitrage traders may exploit these differences, but transaction costs and withdrawal delays can prevent full convergence before the Jun 25, 2026 resolution.
Key catalysts for Morocco vs. Haiti odds include team lineup announcements, injury reports for star players, recent form and head-to-head history, weather conditions at kickoff, and any last-minute tactical shifts. Betting syndicates or sharp money entering either Kalshi or Limitless can trigger rapid repricing. Social media sentiment, expert predictions, and news coverage of player fitness or political factors may also influence trader positioning. Monitor both platforms for volume spikes and price momentum leading up to Jun 25, 2026.
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