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OPEN INTEREST:

$1,395,155,069

395,664

Markets across

30,076

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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ZED FC vs. Modern SC
kalshi
polymarket

ZED FC vs. Modern SC

Volume:
$50,074

Zed

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 12, 2026

Closed: Mar 11, 6:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Zed

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20,176
N/A
N/A
$7,413
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ZED FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,125
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,908
N/A
N/A
$7,391
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (ZED FC vs. Modern SC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,400
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Modern

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,603
N/A
N/A
$2,773
Settled
No
polymarket

Modern SC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,862
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a professional Egyptian Premier League soccer match between ZED FC and Modern SC scheduled for March 11, 2026. The markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: ZED FC win, Modern SC win, or a draw, all evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's draw market uniquely resolves YES on full game cancellation (no make-up), while its win markets resolve NO. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause, creating ambiguity in how canceled games are handled across the three outcome markets.Hero tip: Traders should assume Polymarket's draw market benefits from cancellation (YES resolution), while win markets suffer (NO resolution). On Kalshi, request clarification on cancellation protocol before taking large positions. If cancellation probability is non-trivial, consider the asymmetric payoff structure when sizing.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: ZED FC win (YES if ZED wins, NO otherwise), Modern SC win (YES if Modern wins, NO otherwise), and Draw (YES if draw, NO otherwise). On full cancellation with no make-up, the draw market resolves YES while win markets resolve NO. Resolution source: official EFA statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (draw market only).
  • Kalshi: Three outcome-based markets all resolve YES after 90 minutes plus stoppage time: Tie wins (YES), Zed wins (YES), Modern wins (YES). No explicit cancellation clause is provided. The platform appears to treat all three as mutually exclusive outcomes evaluated at match end, but cancellation handling is not specified. Quote: 'after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.