TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a professional Egyptian Premier League soccer match between ZED FC and Modern SC scheduled for March 11, 2026. The markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: ZED FC win, Modern SC win, or a draw, all evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market uniquely resolves YES on full game cancellation (no make-up), while its win markets resolve NO. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause, creating ambiguity in how canceled games are handled across the three outcome markets.Hero Tip:
Traders should assume Polymarket's draw market benefits from cancellation (YES resolution), while win markets suffer (NO resolution). On Kalshi, request clarification on cancellation protocol before taking large positions. If cancellation probability is non-trivial, consider the asymmetric payoff structure when sizing.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets: ZED FC win (YES if ZED wins, NO otherwise), Modern SC win (YES if Modern wins, NO otherwise), and Draw (YES if draw, NO otherwise). On full cancellation with no make-up, the draw market resolves YES while win markets resolve NO. Resolution source: official EFA statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (draw market only).Kalshi:
Three outcome-based markets all resolve YES after 90 minutes plus stoppage time: Tie wins (YES), Zed wins (YES), Modern wins (YES). No explicit cancellation clause is provided. The platform appears to treat all three as mutually exclusive outcomes evaluated at match end, but cancellation handling is not specified. Quote: 'after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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