TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Youngstown State Penguins and Green Bay Phoenix scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), over/under total points (142.5), and point spread (Green Bay -1.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Green Bay win and Youngstown State win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's markets are internally consistent but operate on different resolution mechanics than Kalshi.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi's moneyline due to critical logical flaw. Use Polymarket's three markets (moneyline, O/U 142.5, spread -1.5) as primary trading venues. Confirm game completion status with NCAA.com before any settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate markets with clear binary outcomes: (1) Moneyline resolves to winning team name; (2) Over/Under resolves Over if combined score >= 143, Under if < 143; (3) Spread resolves Green Bay if they win by 2+, otherwise Youngstown State. All remain open if postponed, resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup. Resolution based on final score including overtime.Kalshi:
Moneyline market contains unresolvable contradiction: states both 'If Green Bay wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Youngstown St. wins... resolves to Yes'. A binary Yes/No market cannot have both outcomes resolve to Yes. No specification of postponement or cancellation handling.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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