TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between Yale Bulldogs and Dartmouth Big Green scheduled for February 13, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), spread (-9.5 Yale), and multiple over/under totals (151.5, 152.5, 153.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Dartmouth win and Yale win) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket moneyline and all derivative markets (spread, totals) use consistent binary or categorical logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's moneyline until the platform clarifies the resolution logic. The current wording guarantees a Yes resolution regardless of game outcome, which violates basic market mechanics. Polymarket markets are safe to trade based on standard sports betting conventions.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market contains contradictory resolution rules: 'If Dartmouth wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Yale wins... resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes cannot simultaneously resolve to Yes in a binary market. Quote: 'If Dartmouth wins the Yale at Dartmouth men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yale wins the Yale at Dartmouth men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to categorical outcomes: Yale Bulldogs or Dartmouth Big Green. Spread market resolves to Yale Bulldogs (win by 10+) or Dartmouth Big Green (otherwise). Over/Under markets use binary thresholds (153+, 154+, 152+ points). All logic is internally consistent and follows standard sports betting conventions. Quote: 'If the Yale Bulldogs win, the market will resolve to Yale Bulldogs. If the Dartmouth Big Green win, the market will resolve to Dartmouth Big Green.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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