TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Xavier Musketeers and Villanova Wildcats scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), over/under total points (153.5), and point spread outcomes (-11.5 and -12.5 for Villanova).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both Villanova winning and Xavier winning are stated to resolve to Yes, which is impossible in a single game outcome. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's moneyline market until the platform clarifies the resolution logic. The market may be intended to resolve on game occurrence rather than winner, but as currently written it is unresolvable. Polymarket's suite of markets (moneyline, spreads, over/under) are internally consistent and can be traded.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to either Xavier Musketeers or Villanova Wildcats based on final score. Spread markets (-11.5 and -12.5) resolve based on margin of victory. Over/Under resolves at 154+ combined points threshold. All markets postpone if game delayed; resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup. Logic is internally consistent across all four markets.Kalshi:
Moneyline market states both Villanova winning and Xavier winning resolve to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. No resolution path exists for a No outcome. Market structure is contradictory and unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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