This event group covers a women's college basketball game between the Wyoming Cowboys and San Diego State Aztecs scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets resolve based on the final winner, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Wyoming win and San Diego State win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and unable to distinguish between outcomes.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. The resolution logic is broken - both outcomes cannot resolve to Yes. Polymarket's binary structure (Wyoming Cowboys vs San Diego State Aztecs) is logically sound. Request clarification from Kalshi that one outcome should resolve Yes and the other No, or that the market should mirror Polymarket's winner-based structure.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary winner-based resolution. Resolves to Wyoming Cowboys if Wyoming wins, or San Diego State Aztecs if San Diego State wins. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Final score including overtime determines result.
Kalshi:
Logically contradictory structure. States If San Diego St. wins then resolves Yes AND If Wyoming wins then resolves Yes. Both outcomes cannot both resolve Yes - this is a logical impossibility that prevents proper market settlement.
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