TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between the Wyoming Cowboys and Air Force Falcons scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Both platforms are betting on the binary outcome of who wins the game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory—both possible outcomes (Air Force win and Wyoming win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market logically unresolvable and fundamentally broken. Polymarket's binary logic is sound and unambiguous.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the platform clarifies or corrects its resolution rules. The market as written cannot differentiate between the two outcomes. Polymarket is the only resolvable venue for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary winner-take-all structure. Wyoming win resolves to 'Wyoming Cowboys'; Air Force win resolves to 'Air Force Falcons'. Postponement extends market; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.Kalshi:
Both outcomes specified to resolve to Yes: 'If Air Force wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Wyoming wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where no outcome can be distinguished from the other.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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