TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Sports
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC
kalshi
polymarket

Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC

Volume:
$320,140

Wuhan San Zhen FC

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 13, 2026

Closed: Mar 13, 7:35 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Wuhan San Zhen FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$102,672
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Wuhan Three Towns FC

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$32,560
N/A
N/A
$25,236
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dalian Yingbo FC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$99,050
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Dalian Yingbo FC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$49,365
N/A
N/A
$30,580
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,518
N/A
N/A
$9,470
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,975
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Chinese Super League soccer match between Wuhan San Zhen FC (also referred to as Wuhan Three Towns FC) and Dalian Yingbo FC scheduled for March 13, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are pricing the three possible outcomes: a win for Wuhan, a win for Dalian, or a draw, all evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market structure violates logical mutual exclusivity by resolving all three outcome conditions to Yes simultaneously, making it impossible to determine a single resolution state. Polymarket uses three independent binary markets with proper Yes/No logic.Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi. The market cannot resolve to a single state because every possible match outcome triggers a Yes resolution. Use Polymarket's three separate markets (Draw, Wuhan Win, Dalian Win) as the only reliable pricing source. Report Kalshi market as critically malformed.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Market structure error: three separate conditions (Tie, Wuhan Win, Dalian Win) each independently resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where every possible match outcome results in Yes. Quote: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Wuhan Three Towns FC wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Dalian Yingbo FC wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with proper mutual exclusivity: Draw (Yes if draw, No otherwise), Wuhan Win (Yes if Wuhan wins, No otherwise), Dalian Win (Yes if Dalian wins, No otherwise). Standard binary resolution with consistent postponement and cancellation rules. Quote: 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.