TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Chinese Super League soccer match between Wuhan San Zhen FC (also referred to as Wuhan Three Towns FC) and Dalian Yingbo FC scheduled for March 13, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are pricing the three possible outcomes: a win for Wuhan, a win for Dalian, or a draw, all evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure violates logical mutual exclusivity by resolving all three outcome conditions to Yes simultaneously, making it impossible to determine a single resolution state. Polymarket uses three independent binary markets with proper Yes/No logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi. The market cannot resolve to a single state because every possible match outcome triggers a Yes resolution. Use Polymarket's three separate markets (Draw, Wuhan Win, Dalian Win) as the only reliable pricing source. Report Kalshi market as critically malformed.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Market structure error: three separate conditions (Tie, Wuhan Win, Dalian Win) each independently resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where every possible match outcome results in Yes. Quote: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Wuhan Three Towns FC wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Dalian Yingbo FC wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets with proper mutual exclusivity: Draw (Yes if draw, No otherwise), Wuhan Win (Yes if Wuhan wins, No otherwise), Dalian Win (Yes if Dalian wins, No otherwise). Standard binary resolution with consistent postponement and cancellation rules. Quote: 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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