TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Women's Ice Hockey Semifinals matchup between the USA and Sweden at the 2026 Winter Olympics, scheduled for February 16, 2026 at 10:40 AM EST. Markets across platforms are betting on the winner of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootout outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (USA win and Sweden win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as written. Polymarket uses correct categorical resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi until this contradiction is resolved with the platform. The market as stated cannot function. Polymarket's structure is sound: USA victory resolves to USA, Sweden victory resolves to Sweden, postponement keeps market open, cancellation resolves 50-50.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Both USA and Sweden victories resolve to Yes. This is logically impossible for a binary market and suggests a template error or data corruption. Quote: If United States wins...resolves to Yes. If Sweden wins...resolves to Yes.Polymarket:
Categorical resolution: USA win = USA, Sweden win = Sweden. Includes explicit edge case handling for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Quote: If USA win, resolve to USA. If Sweden win, resolve to Sweden.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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