TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Wisconsin Badgers and Washington Huskies scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spreads at -1.5 and -2.5, and a total points over/under at 153.5.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Wisconsin win and Washington win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market in its current form. Contact Kalshi support to clarify whether the market should resolve to Yes for one team and No for the other, or if the market description is erroneous. For Polymarket markets, all resolution logic is internally consistent and tradeable: use final score including overtime, apply 50-50 split only if game is canceled with no makeup, and keep markets open if postponed.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market specifies both Washington win and Wisconsin win resolve to Yes with no No outcome defined. This is a logical contradiction that prevents proper market settlement. Quote: 'If Washington wins... resolves to Yes. If Wisconsin wins... resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to team name (Wisconsin Badgers or Washington Huskies). Spreads resolve based on point differential (2+ for -1.5, 3+ for -2.5). Total resolves based on combined score (154+ = Over, <154 = Under). All markets include postponement (stay open) and cancellation (50-50) provisions. Quote: 'If the Wisconsin Badgers win, the market will resolve to Wisconsin Badgers. If the Washington Huskies win, the market will resolve to Washington Huskies.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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