TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NCAA Division I Men's Basketball game between the Wisconsin Badgers and Purdue Boilermakers scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET in West Lafayette, Indiana. Markets span moneyline (winner), spread betting, and over/under total points across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket offer fundamentally different market structures for the same underlying game. Kalshi uses binary point-spread buckets while Polymarket uses traditional moneyline, spread, and over/under formats. Both platforms resolve based on the same final game score, but the market mechanics and resolution outcomes differ structurally.Hero Tip:
These platforms serve different trading strategies. Kalshi's granular spread buckets allow precise margin betting; Polymarket's traditional formats align with standard sportsbook conventions. Ensure you understand which platform's market structure matches your intended bet before entering a position. Cross-platform arbitrage is not possible here due to structural differences.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Offers 15 separate binary YES/NO markets, each resolving independently based on whether the final margin exceeds a specific threshold (Wisconsin wins by >3.5/6.5/9.5/12.5/15.5/18.5/21.5 points OR Purdue wins by >3.5/6.5/9.5/12.5/15.5/18.5/21.5/24.5 points). Each market is a standalone binary bet. Key Quote: If Wisconsin wins by more than 12.5 points in the Wisconsin at Purdue men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.Polymarket:
Offers four distinct traditional sports betting markets: (1) Moneyline winner (Wisconsin Badgers vs Purdue Boilermakers); (2) Over/Under 155.5 (resolves Over at 156+ combined points); (3) Over/Under 154.5 (resolves Over at 155+ combined points); (4) Spread Purdue -8.5 (Purdue wins by 9+); (5) Spread Purdue -9.5 (Purdue wins by 10+). Key Quote: This market will resolve to Purdue Boilermakers if the Purdue Boilermakers win the game by 9 or more points.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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