TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,997,338

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,395,155,069

395,664

Markets across

30,076

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Wisconsin Badgers vs. Purdue Boilermakers
kalshi
polymarket

Wisconsin Badgers vs. Purdue Boilermakers

Volume:
$753,113

Wisconsin Badgers vs. Purdue Boilermakers

 - Polymarket

Wisconsin Badgers vs. Purdue Boilermakers - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 8, 2026

Closed: Mar 7, 4:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Wisconsin Badgers vs. Purdue Boilermakers

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$115,279
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Wisconsin wins by over 3.5 Points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$53,255
N/A
N/A
$29,434
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 155.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,852
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 154.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$312
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Purdue wins by over 9.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$290,872
N/A
N/A
$195,705
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -9.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,188
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Purdue wins by over 3.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$111,797
N/A
N/A
$64,278
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -8.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,571
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Purdue wins by over 6.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$93,331
N/A
N/A
$50,873
Settled
No
kalshi

Wisconsin wins by over 9.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,029
N/A
N/A
$24,421
Settled
No
kalshi

Wisconsin wins by over 6.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,009
N/A
N/A
$14,771
Settled
No
kalshi

Purdue wins by over 12.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,588
N/A
N/A
$10,310
Settled
No
kalshi

Purdue wins by over 15.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,315
N/A
N/A
$4,576
Settled
No
kalshi

Wisconsin wins by over 12.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,133
N/A
N/A
$2,213
Settled
No
kalshi

Purdue wins by over 21.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,884
N/A
N/A
$1,784
Settled
No
kalshi

Wisconsin wins by over 15.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,684
N/A
N/A
$1,623
Settled
No
kalshi

Wisconsin wins by over 21.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,672
N/A
N/A
$1,672
Settled
No
kalshi

Purdue wins by over 18.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,168
N/A
N/A
$1,043
Settled
No
kalshi

Wisconsin wins by over 18.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$737
N/A
N/A
$737
Settled
No
kalshi

Purdue wins by over 24.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$435
N/A
N/A
$435
Settled
No
Total markets: 20

Description

This event group covers the NCAA Division I Men's Basketball game between the Wisconsin Badgers and Purdue Boilermakers scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET in West Lafayette, Indiana. Markets span moneyline (winner), spread betting, and over/under total points across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket offer fundamentally different market structures for the same underlying game. Kalshi uses binary point-spread buckets while Polymarket uses traditional moneyline, spread, and over/under formats. Both platforms resolve based on the same final game score, but the market mechanics and resolution outcomes differ structurally.Hero tip: These platforms serve different trading strategies. Kalshi's granular spread buckets allow precise margin betting; Polymarket's traditional formats align with standard sportsbook conventions. Ensure you understand which platform's market structure matches your intended bet before entering a position. Cross-platform arbitrage is not possible here due to structural differences.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Offers 15 separate binary YES/NO markets, each resolving independently based on whether the final margin exceeds a specific threshold (Wisconsin wins by >3.5/6.5/9.5/12.5/15.5/18.5/21.5 points OR Purdue wins by >3.5/6.5/9.5/12.5/15.5/18.5/21.5/24.5 points). Each market is a standalone binary bet. Key Quote: If Wisconsin wins by more than 12.5 points in the Wisconsin at Purdue men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • Polymarket: Offers four distinct traditional sports betting markets: (1) Moneyline winner (Wisconsin Badgers vs Purdue Boilermakers); (2) Over/Under 155.5 (resolves Over at 156+ combined points); (3) Over/Under 154.5 (resolves Over at 155+ combined points); (4) Spread Purdue -8.5 (Purdue wins by 9+); (5) Spread Purdue -9.5 (Purdue wins by 10+). Key Quote: This market will resolve to Purdue Boilermakers if the Purdue Boilermakers win the game by 9 or more points.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.