TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers prediction markets on who will win the gold medal in Men's Snowboard Halfpipe at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics. Polymarket offers individual athlete-level markets plus a catch-all 'someone else' option, while Kalshi offers country-level markets. Both resolve based on the official IOC medal award at the time of the podium ceremony.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket contains 10 undefined placeholder entries that cannot be resolved without participant identification. Additionally, Polymarket and Kalshi operate at different resolution scopes (individual athlete vs. country), creating logical incompatibility and arbitrage risk.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Polymarket placeholder markets until identities are confirmed. For cross-platform strategies, map Polymarket named athletes to their countries and cross-check against Kalshi country markets. The 'someone else' Polymarket option creates ambiguity when resolving against Kalshi's exhaustive country list.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Individual athlete-level resolution with 10 undefined placeholders (Placeholder 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15). Named athletes: Ayumu Hirano, Pat Burgener, Chase Josey, Alessandro Barbieri, Yuto Totsuka, Scotty James, Chaeun Lee, Chase Blackwell, Jake Pates, Ryusei Yamada, Valentino Guseli, Ruka Hirano, Campbell Melville Ives, Zuyang Wang. Includes catch-all 'someone else' market. Resolves 'No' if athlete eliminated per IOC. Resolves 'Other' if event postponed after 31 Mar 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or no gold declared by deadline. Key Quote: 'If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to win the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics gold medal for Snowboard Halfpipe - Men's event per the rules of IOC (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to No'.Kalshi:
Country-level resolution across 11 nations: Italy, Germany, New Zealand, Japan, China PR, Australia, United States, Korea Republic, Switzerland, Brazil, Austria. Each market resolves Yes if that country wins gold. No undefined entries or placeholders. No explicit handling of postponement, cancellation, or deadline miss documented in provided rules.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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