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406,065

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Winter Games 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Mass Start
kalshi
polymarket

Winter Games 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Mass Start

Volume:
$162,136

Jorrit Bergsma (NED)

 - Polymarket

Jorrit Bergsma (NED) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 21, 2026

Will Jorrit Bergsma (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Jorrit Bergsma (NED)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,779
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Jorrit Bergsma

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,841
0%
0%
$5,964
N/A
kalshi

Jordan Stolz

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$70,513
0%
0%
$49,765
N/A
polymarket

Jordan Stolz (USA)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,776
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Seungmin Cho

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,351
0%
0%
$9,351
N/A
polymarket

Timothy Loubineaud (FRA)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,033
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Andrea Giovannini

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,030
0%
0%
$3,827
N/A
polymarket

Stijn van de Bunt (NED)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,984
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Livio Wenger (SUI)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,838
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Yuhaochen Li (CHN)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,522
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Viktor Hald Thorup (DEN)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,418
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Jae-Won Chung (KOR)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,388
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Casey Dawson (USA)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,312
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Metodej Jilek (CZE)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,258
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Bart Swings (BEL)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,111
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Metoděj Jílek

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,025
0%
0%
$1,851
N/A
kalshi

Jaewon Chung

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,675
0%
0%
$1,501
N/A
kalshi

Bart Swings

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,638
0%
0%
$1,576
N/A
polymarket

Andrea Giovannini (ITA)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,542
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Felix Maly (GER)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,117
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Mathieu BelloiR (FRA)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$883
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Ethan Cepuran (USA)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$761
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Antoine Gelinas-Beaulieu (CAN)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$657
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Jake Weidemann (CAN)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$584
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Fridtjof Petzold (GER)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$583
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 25 of 61

Description

This event group covers prediction markets on who will win the gold medal in Men's Mass Start Speed Skating at the 2026 Winter Olympics in Milano-Cortina. Both Kalshi and Polymarket offer binary YES/NO markets on individual skaters from a curated list of 24 competitors, plus Polymarket includes a catch-all 'someone else' option.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use the same primary resolution source (IOC official medal ceremony results) and apply consistent YES/NO logic based on whether the named athlete wins gold, with aligned edge-case handling for disqualifications, cancellations, and deadline cutoffs.Primary resolution logic: International Olympic Committee (https://www.olympics.com) official medal ceremony declaration for the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics Men's Mass Start Speed Skating event

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves YES if and only if the named athlete is awarded the gold medal at the official IOC medal ceremony for Men's Mass Start Speed Skating at 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics
  • Market resolves NO if the named athlete does not win gold, is eliminated per IOC rules, or is not awarded the medal
  • Subsequent disqualifications, amendments, or appeals after the medal ceremony are not considered for resolution purposes
  • If multiple athletes are awarded gold (rare), Polymarket applies alphabetical ordering by listed name; Kalshi individual markets resolve based on whether that specific athlete received gold
  • Polymarket includes a 'someone else' catch-all option that resolves YES if any unlisted athlete wins gold

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Event Postponement or Cancellation: If the event is postponed after March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET or canceled entirely, Polymarket resolves to 'Other'; Kalshi binary markets resolve to NO. No gold medal declaration within the deadline also triggers 'Other' (Polymarket) or NO (Kalshi).
  • Athlete Elimination or Ineligibility: If a listed athlete becomes ineligible per IOC rules before or during the event, Polymarket explicitly resolves that market to NO. Kalshi markets for that athlete also resolve NO.
  • Tied Gold Medals: If two or more athletes are awarded gold, Polymarket resolves in favor of the athlete whose name comes first alphabetically among those listed in the market group. Individual Kalshi markets for each gold medalist resolve YES.
  • Placeholder Resolution (Polymarket): Polymarket includes 15 placeholder markets (Placeholder 1–15) whose actual athlete assignments are not yet specified in the source data. These will resolve based on whichever athlete is ultimately assigned to each placeholder at market launch.
Timing: Resolution occurs at the time of the official IOC medal ceremony for Men's Mass Start Speed Skating at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics. The deadline for resolution is March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET; if no gold medal is declared by then, Polymarket resolves to 'Other' and Kalshi resolves to NO.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.