TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Winter Games 2026: Ski Halfpipe - Women's
polymarket
kalshi

Winter Games 2026: Ski Halfpipe - Women's

Volume:
$327,451

Ailing Eileen Gu

 - Kalshi

Ailing Eileen Gu - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 22, 2026

Will Ailing Eileen Gu win the gold medal in Freestyle Skiing Women's Freeski Halfpipe?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ailing Eileen Gu

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$166,567
0%
0%
$91,798
N/A
polymarket

Eileen Gu (CHN)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$28,736
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Zoe Atkin

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,252
0%
0%
$21,642
N/A
polymarket

Cassie Sharpe (CAN)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,650
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Zoe Atkin (GBR)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,561
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Indra Brown

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,667
0%
0%
$12,451
N/A
kalshi

Fanghui Li

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,680
0%
0%
$7,034
N/A
kalshi

Cassie Sharpe

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,516
0%
0%
$3,332
N/A
polymarket

Li Fangui (CHN)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,225
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Indra Brown (AUS)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,555
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Dillan Glennie (CAN)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,430
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Riley Jacobs (USA)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,414
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Mischa Thomas (NZL)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,386
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Abby Winterberger (USA)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,276
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Amy Fraser

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,272
0%
0%
$1,536
N/A
kalshi

Svea Irving

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,149
0%
0%
$1,949
N/A
polymarket

Kelly Sildaru (EST)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,049
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Kathryn Gray

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,023
0%
0%
$1,809
N/A
polymarket

Amy Fraser (CAN)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,622
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Svea Irving (USA)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,432
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Rachael Karker

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,257
0%
0%
$1,257
N/A
kalshi

Kexin Zhang

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,219
0%
0%
$1,211
N/A
polymarket

Rachael Karker (CAN)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$852
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Mischa Thomas

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$846
0%
0%
$846
N/A
polymarket

Kexin Zhang (CHN)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$761
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 25 of 51

Description

This event group covers prediction markets for the Women's Ski Halfpipe gold medal at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics. Markets are offered on both Polymarket (individual participant binary contracts) and Kalshi (multi-outcome resolution conditions), with overlapping but distinct participant rosters and resolution mechanics.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Participant roster divergence with naming inconsistencies and scope differences. Polymarket includes 9 placeholder slots and explicit catch-all; Kalshi lists 20 fixed athletes with no published fallback. Name variants (Liu/Lu, Kathryn/Kate Gray) create potential matching ambiguity.Hero tip: Verify athlete names and final Olympic roster against IOC official entries by Q4 2025. On Polymarket, monitor placeholder resolution logic—if a placeholder athlete wins, that specific market resolves Yes. On Kalshi, if the gold medalist is not among the 20 named athletes, the market may resolve to No or remain unresolved pending platform clarification. Arbitrage opportunity exists if Kalshi's fixed list omits a likely medalist.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: 32 binary markets: 20 named athletes (Kelly Sildaru EST, Li Fangui CHN, Cassie Sharpe CAN, Rachael Karker CAN, Abby Winterberger USA, Riley Jacobs USA, Mischa Thomas NZL, Indra Brown AUS, Kexin Zhang CHN, Amy Fraser CAN, Dillan Glennie CAN, Yishan Lu CHN, Eileen Gu CHN, Zoe Atkin GBR, Svea Irving USA, Kate Gray USA) plus 9 placeholder slots (Placeholder 3–15) plus 1 catch-all (someone else). Resolution per IOC official records at olympics.com; hard deadline March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; post-ceremony disqualifications ignored; ties resolved alphabetically by listed name; postponement/cancellation after deadline resolves to Other.
  • Kalshi: 21 binary resolution conditions tied to 20 named athletes (Svea Irving USA, Rachael Karker CAN, Dillan Glennie CAN, Cassie Sharpe CAN, Zoe Atkin GBR, Kexin Zhang CHN, Kelly Sildaru EST, Kathryn Gray USA, Fanghui Li CHN, Ailing Eileen Gu CHN, Yujin Jang KOR, Sabrina Cakmakli TUR, Riley Jacobs USA, Piper Arnold USA, Mischa Thomas NZL, Grete-Mia Meentalo FIN, Amy Fraser CAN, Yishan Liu CHN, Nanaho Kiriyama JPN, Indra Brown AUS, Daeun Kim KOR). No published deadline, catch-all, or post-ceremony amendment clause. No explicit tie-breaking rule.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.