TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers prediction markets for the Men's Ski Halfpipe gold medal at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics. Both Kalshi and Polymarket offer markets on whether specific athletes will win the gold medal, with Kalshi listing 25 named competitors and Polymarket offering individual markets plus placeholders for unnamed athletes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket use identical resolution logic: official IOC gold medal award for Men's Ski Halfpipe at 2026 Milano-Cortina, with consistent handling of cancellations, disqualifications, and timing cutoffs.
Primary resolution logic:
International Olympic Committee official results (olympics.com) as announced at the medal ceremonyCore resolution logic:
- Market resolves Yes if and only if the named athlete is awarded the gold medal in Men's Ski Halfpipe at 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics
- Market resolves No if any other athlete wins the gold medal or if the named athlete is eliminated, disqualified, or unable to compete per IOC rules
- Subsequent disqualifications or amendments after medal ceremony are not considered; resolution is final at ceremony time
- If multiple athletes are awarded gold (tie), Polymarket resolves in favor of the alphabetically first name; Kalshi treats each as a separate Yes resolution
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Event Cancellation or Postponement: If the Men's Ski Halfpipe event is canceled or postponed beyond March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, Polymarket resolves to Other; Kalshi resolves to No
- No Gold Medal Declared: If no gold medal is declared within the timeframe (e.g., event abandoned mid-competition), Polymarket resolves to Other; Kalshi resolves to No
- Athlete Disqualification Before Event: If a named athlete is eliminated or disqualified before competing (per IOC rules), the corresponding market resolves No
- Placeholder Resolution (Polymarket): Polymarket uses numbered placeholders for 10 unnamed athletes; these resolve Yes only if the corresponding unnamed athlete wins gold, or No if any named or other athlete wins
Timing:
Resolution occurs at the time of the official medal ceremony for Men's Ski Halfpipe at 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics, with a hard deadline of March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET for all outcomes to be declaredOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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