TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between William & Mary Tribe and Campbell Fighting Camels scheduled for February 19, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline winner, point spread outcomes at multiple thresholds, and total points over/under at three different lines (167.5, 168.5, 169.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are properly structured with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline. Use only Polymarket markets for this event, which have clear, mutually exclusive resolution paths. Contact Kalshi support immediately to report the logical error in their market structure.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market resolves to Yes for both Campbell win AND William & Mary win, creating a logical tautology. This violates basic binary market structure and makes the market unresolvable. Quote: 'If Campbell wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If William & Mary wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to winner name (William & Mary Tribe or Campbell Fighting Camels) with clear mutual exclusivity. Spreads resolve based on point differential thresholds (2+ or 3+ points). Totals resolve based on combined score thresholds (168+, 169+, or 170+). All markets include 50-50 cancellation clause. Quote: 'If the William & Mary Tribe win, the market will resolve to William & Mary Tribe. If the Campbell Fighting Camels win, the market will resolve to Campbell Fighting Camels.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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