TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
On March 28, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET, the Minnesota Wild will face the Boston Bruins in an NHL game. Markets track both the moneyline winner (Wild or Bruins) and multiple total goals over/under thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5). Resolution is based on the final official score including overtime and shootouts, where a shootout win adds one goal to the winning team's total for scoring purposes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's monoline market resolves YES for either outcome (Wild win OR Bruins win), creating a guaranteed YES resolution regardless of game result. Polymarket offers multiple distinct markets (winner, over/under totals, spread) that each resolve to specific outcomes based on game performance. The platforms use fundamentally different market structures and resolution scopes.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is a tautology — it will always resolve YES because one team must win. Do not trade this as a predictive market; it is not a bet on which team wins. Polymarket's markets are standard sports betting products where your outcome depends on the actual game result. If you want to bet on the Wild or Bruins to win, use Polymarket's winner market, not Kalshi's.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi's single market resolves YES if either the Wild win OR the Bruins win the game on March 28, 2026. This creates a guaranteed YES outcome regardless of which team wins, making it a non-predictive market. Key quote: 'If MIN Wild wins the Minnesota at Boston professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If BOS Bruins wins the Minnesota at Boston professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket offers multiple independent markets with mutually exclusive outcomes. The winner market resolves to either 'Wild' or 'Bruins' (not both), and separate over/under total goals markets (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5) and a spread market (-1.5 Wild) each resolve based on specific game statistics. Key quote: 'If the Wild win, the market will resolve to Wild. If the Bruins win, the market will resolve to Bruins.' and 'This market will resolve to Over if the Wild and Bruins combine to score 7 or more goals in this game.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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