TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the CBB game between Wichita State Shockers and Oklahoma State Cowboys on March 22 at 8:30 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi contains 10 logically contradictory markets that resolve YES for virtually every possible game outcome, making the platform fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides coherent, mutually exclusive markets with clear resolution criteria. The two platforms use entirely incompatible resolution frameworks.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group — they are logically broken and will likely all resolve YES regardless of the actual game result. Polymarket markets are tradeable and follow standard sportsbook logic. If you hold Kalshi positions, expect either mass cancellation or forced YES resolution across all markets.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi's 10 markets are logically contradictory and cover overlapping point-spread thresholds (3.5, 6.5, 9.5, 12.5, 15.5, 18.5 points for both teams) such that nearly every realistic final score triggers YES on multiple markets simultaneously. For example, if Oklahoma State wins by 10 points, markets 3, 5, 7, and 10 all resolve YES; if Wichita State wins by 8 points, markets 1, 2, 6, and 9 all resolve YES. This violates the principle that spread markets should be mutually exclusive. The platform provides no clarification on whether multiple YES resolutions are intended or how to handle the logical impossibility of all markets resolving consistently.Polymarket:
Aligned with standard sportsbook logic: Polymarket offers 13 coherent, mutually exclusive markets covering moneyline (winner), multiple spread thresholds (-7.5, -5.5, -4.5, -3.5, -2.5, -1.5 for both teams), and over/under totals (158.5 through 166.5). Each market has a single, unambiguous resolution criterion. For example, 'Spread: Oklahoma State Cowboys (-3.5)' resolves YES if and only if Oklahoma State wins by 4+ points, and NO otherwise. All markets reference the same game (March 22, 8:30 PM ET), same final score source (including overtime), and same cancellation/postponement rules (50-50 if canceled, remain open if postponed).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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