TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball matchup between Wichita State Shockers and Memphis Tigers scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spread (-1.5 Memphis), and multiple over/under totals (146.5, 147.5, 148.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both Memphis win and Wichita State win are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary event. Polymarket moneyline correctly specifies mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline until the platform issues a clarification or correction. The market as written violates basic binary logic. Use Polymarket moneyline, spread, and over/under markets which all contain coherent resolution logic. Verify game completion status before settlement on all platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market states both "If Memphis wins...resolves to Yes" and "If Wichita St. wins...resolves to Yes" - logically impossible for a binary market. No explicit handling of postponement or cancellation stated.Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to team name of winner (mutually exclusive). Spread resolves Memphis if win by 2+, otherwise Wichita. Over/unders resolve based on combined score thresholds (148+, 147+, 149+ respectively). All markets include postponement (stay open) and cancellation (50-50 split) clauses.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.