TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
What will be the top US Netflix movie this week? Odds & Prediction Markets
Closed: Apr 14, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi offers 14 binary markets covering specific movie titles, while Polymarket offers 22 binary markets that include the same titles plus placeholder movies (Movie A-K) and an 'other' catch-all. Both platforms resolve on the same Netflix Top 10 ranking published April 14, 2026, but Polymarket's scope is broader and includes an explicit 'other' resolution path.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, your YES resolution is limited to one of 14 named movies. If you trade on Polymarket, you have additional markets for placeholder titles and an explicit 'other' option. If the #1 movie is not on Kalshi's list, Kalshi markets will all resolve NO, while Polymarket's 'other' market may resolve YES. Align your portfolio accordingly based on which platform's scope matches your prediction.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Distinct stance: Kalshi lists exactly 14 specific movie titles (Anaconda, Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom, Madagascar, The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson, Minions: The Rise of Gru, 28 Years Later: The Bone Temple, Black and Blue, Clika, KPop Demon Hunters, The Bad Guys 2, Thrash, Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle, Beast, Untold: Chess Mates). Each market resolves YES if that movie is #1 on the Netflix Top 10 US Movie chart published April 14, 2026. If none of these 14 movies rank #1, all Kalshi markets resolve NO.Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket lists 9 named movies (Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle, Beast, The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson, Anaconda, Madagascar, Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom, Black and Blue, Thrash, IF) plus 7 placeholder markets (Movie A through Movie K) and one explicit 'other' catch-all market. Resolution is based on the Netflix Top 10 ranking update on April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET. If the update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, markets resolve to 'Other'.
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