TOTAL VOLUME:
$116.9b
24H VOL:
$106,489,002
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,362,287,844
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,181,535,005
338,833
Markets across
33,624
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,320
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?
March 31, 2027
- Polymarket
March 31, 2027 - Polymarket
9%
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Aug 20
Aug 22
Aug 23
Aug 24
Aug 26
Aug 27
Aug 27
Vol.
$75.2
·
Resolves Apr 1, 2027
New "Stranger Things" episode released by March 31, 2027?
$
Intro
This market tracks whether a new episode of Stranger Things will be released by March 31, 2027 on Polymarket, with the leading outcome currently at 7.0% and the second outcome at 4.2%. The resolution source is the Stranger Things title page on Netflix and credible reporting. Watch for any official episode release announcements ahead of the March 31, 2027 deadline to see if the market resolves.
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Netflix officially releases a new episode of Stranger Things (i.e., an episode that was not previously available to stream on Netflix) between market creation and January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, an “episode” must be listed as a distinct episode of Stranger Things on Netflix and be playable for general subscribers in the United States. A behind-the-scenes featurette, documentary, trailer, recap, cast interview, deleted scenes compilation, or other bonus content will not count unless it is clearly presented by Netflix as an official numbered or titled episode of the series. If Netflix releases an alternate cut, extended cut, or “secret” version of an already-released episode, it will not count unless it is listed as a separate episode entry on Netflix. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Stranger Things title page on Netflix (episode list and availability), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money bets from thousands of traders and represent a crowdsourced forecast of when the new Stranger Things episode will release. Unlike traditional analyst forecasts, which rely on expert opinion and limited data sources, prediction markets aggregate dispersed information and financial incentives. Traders who correctly predict the outcome profit, creating pressure for odds to reflect genuine probabilities. Comparing Polymarket odds to entertainment industry analyst predictions or Netflix release patterns can reveal where the market consensus diverges from expert commentary, helping you identify potential value.
On Polymarket, the New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader bets into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The top outcome currently reflects 6.5% probability. Traders buy or sell shares representing "yes" or "no" positions, and the price adjusts based on order flow and liquidity. As the Apr 1, 2027 resolution date approaches, prices typically become more volatile as new information about Netflix's release schedule emerges. The market's depth and 24-hour volume of $126 indicate active participation and competitive pricing.
The market resolves on Apr 1, 2027, at which point the outcome is determined based on official release information for the new Stranger Things episode. The specific resolution criteria depend on the exact wording of the market question, which specifies the release window or date being predicted. Traders should review the full market terms to understand which announcements, official Netflix statements, or platform availability events will trigger resolution. Once the episode is released or the deadline passes, the market settles and winnings are distributed to holders of the correct outcome.
Several catalysts could shift odds for the New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? market. Official Netflix announcements or press releases about release dates will have immediate impact. Social media leaks, production updates from cast or crew, or Netflix's quarterly earnings calls mentioning content roadmaps could move prices. Entertainment news coverage and industry reports about Stranger Things production timelines may also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, any delays or accelerations in Netflix's broader release schedule could signal changes to Stranger Things timing. Real-time monitoring of Netflix's official channels and entertainment media will help you anticipate market-moving events before they're fully priced in.
