TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
What will be the top US Netflix movie this week? Odds & Prediction Markets
Volume:
$123,623
Jurassic World Rebirth 1%
War Machine 100%
War Machine 99%
Closed: Mar 9, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group determines which movie will rank #1 on Netflix's US Top 10 Movies chart as published on March 10, 2026. Both platforms resolve based on Netflix's official ranking reflecting viewership data from the prior week (Monday to Sunday), with resolution occurring on the publication date.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket includes placeholder movie titles and an explicit fallback resolution to 'Other' if Netflix fails to publish by March 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Kalshi lists only 12 named movies with no fallback mechanism defined, creating ambiguity if an unlisted movie ranks #1 or if Netflix delays publication.Hero Tip:
On Polymarket, clarify what Movie A-K represent before trading; the 'other movie' and 'Other' fallback options create a safety valve but also introduce resolution uncertainty. On Kalshi, verify the resolution path if a movie outside the 12 listed titles ranks #1, or if Netflix misses the March 10 publication date. Both platforms should confirm whether ties or delayed updates trigger specific outcomes.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Resolves based on top10.netflix.com update on March 10, 2026, 3:00 PM ET. Includes 12 named movies, placeholder titles (Movie A-K), and an 'another movie' catch-all. Fallback: If update does not occur by March 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, resolves to 'Other'. Key Quote: 'If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by March 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to Other.'Kalshi:
Resolves Yes if any of 12 named movies rank #1 on Netflix Top 10 US Movie chart published March 10, 2026. No fallback or 'Other' option specified. Resolution path unclear if an unlisted movie ranks #1 or if Netflix delays publication. Key Quote: 'If [Movie Name] is #1 on the Netflix Top 10 US Movie on the chart published on Mar 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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