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What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?
kalshi
polymarket

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Volume:
$123,623

War Machine

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 11, 2026

Closed: Mar 9, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

War Machine

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$31,696
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

War Machine

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,627
N/A
N/A
$8,942
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jurassic World Rebirth

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,645
N/A
N/A
$16,526
Settled
No
polymarket

Jurassic World Rebirth

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,208
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Joe’s College Road Trip

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,964
N/A
N/A
$6,964
Settled
No
kalshi

The Dinosaurs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,342
N/A
N/A
$3,342
Settled
No
kalshi

Trap House

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,928
N/A
N/A
$2,928
Settled
No
polymarket

Downton Abbey: The Grand Finale

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,573
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Nuremberg

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,529
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,288
N/A
N/A
$2,288
Settled
No
kalshi

Firebreak

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,138
N/A
N/A
$2,138
Settled
No
kalshi

KPop Demon Hunters

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,995
N/A
N/A
$1,981
Settled
No
polymarket

Kpop Demon Hunters

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

The Orphans

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$541
N/A
N/A
$541
Settled
No
kalshi

Fall

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$530
N/A
N/A
$530
Settled
No
kalshi

The Addams Family

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$419
N/A
N/A
$419
Settled
No
polymarket

The Addams Family

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

The Expendables 4

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$199
N/A
N/A
$199
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie A

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie B

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie C

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie D

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie E

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie F

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie G

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 30

Description

This event group determines which movie will rank #1 on Netflix's US Top 10 Movies chart as published on March 10, 2026. Both platforms resolve based on Netflix's official ranking reflecting viewership data from the prior week (Monday to Sunday), with resolution occurring on the publication date.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket includes placeholder movie titles and an explicit fallback resolution to 'Other' if Netflix fails to publish by March 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Kalshi lists only 12 named movies with no fallback mechanism defined, creating ambiguity if an unlisted movie ranks #1 or if Netflix delays publication.Hero tip: On Polymarket, clarify what Movie A-K represent before trading; the 'other movie' and 'Other' fallback options create a safety valve but also introduce resolution uncertainty. On Kalshi, verify the resolution path if a movie outside the 12 listed titles ranks #1, or if Netflix misses the March 10 publication date. Both platforms should confirm whether ties or delayed updates trigger specific outcomes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on top10.netflix.com update on March 10, 2026, 3:00 PM ET. Includes 12 named movies, placeholder titles (Movie A-K), and an 'another movie' catch-all. Fallback: If update does not occur by March 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, resolves to 'Other'. Key Quote: 'If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by March 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to Other.'
  • Kalshi: Resolves Yes if any of 12 named movies rank #1 on Netflix Top 10 US Movie chart published March 10, 2026. No fallback or 'Other' option specified. Resolution path unclear if an unlisted movie ranks #1 or if Netflix delays publication. Key Quote: 'If [Movie Name] is #1 on the Netflix Top 10 US Movie on the chart published on Mar 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.