TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$289,551,806
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,385,684,468
582,866
Markets across
14,512
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,139
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
What will be the top global Netflix show this week? Odds & Prediction Markets
Closed: Apr 27, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 28, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Primary resolution logic:
Netflix official Top 10 TV shows global ranking published at top10.netflix.com on April 28, 2026 at 3:00 PM ETCore resolution logic:
- Resolution is determined by which show Netflix ranks as #1 on its global Top 10 TV shows list on the chart published April 28, 2026
- Ranking is based on total views globally for TV shows in English only, as reported by Netflix
- The chart reflects viewership from the previous week (Monday April 21 through Sunday April 27, 2026)
- Exactly one show will resolve to Yes; all others resolve to No
- If Netflix does not publish the update by May 1, 2026 11:59 PM ET, Polymarket resolves to Other; Kalshi does not specify fallback behavior
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- No update published by deadline: Polymarket explicitly resolves to Other if top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 1, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Kalshi does not specify fallback resolution.
- Tie for #1 ranking: Netflix's official ranking will show a single #1 show; if Netflix displays a tie, the show listed first on the official chart is the winner.
- Show not released or removed: If a listed show is not released or is removed from Netflix before April 28, 2026, it cannot be ranked #1 and resolves to No.
- Polymarket Other option: Polymarket includes an Other option that wins if none of the 21 named shows is ranked #1, or if the update fails to publish by the deadline.
Timing:
Resolution occurs on April 28, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET when Netflix publishes its global Top 10 TV shows chart. Final settlement deadline is May 1, 2026 11:59 PM ET.Related events
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