TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?
kalshi
polymarket

What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Volume:
$27,265

War Machine

 - Polymarket

War Machine - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 18, 2026

Closed: Mar 16, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

War Machine

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19,515
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 6 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,168
N/A
N/A
$751
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 40 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$182
N/A
N/A
$170
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 35 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$127
N/A
N/A
$127
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 12 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$90
N/A
N/A
$90
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 25 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$29
N/A
N/A
$27
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 30 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,056
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 50 million

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$88
N/A
N/A
$78
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 21 million

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 15 million

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 18 million

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 9 million

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Movie A

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie G

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie I

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jurassic World Rebirth

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie B

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie C

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie E

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Kpop Demon Hunters

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Nobody 2

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie H

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie J

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 29

Description

This event group determines which movie will rank as #1 on Netflix's global Top 10 Movies chart for the week ending March 17, 2026. Both platforms are betting on the identity of the top-ranked movie based on Netflix's official viewership data published on March 17, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi resolves on viewership thresholds (quantitative); Polymarket resolves on movie identity (categorical). Both reference the same Netflix chart published March 17, 2026, but measure different attributes.Hero tip: Do not assume Kalshi YES and Polymarket YES are the same outcome. Kalshi YES means the #1 movie hit a view threshold; Polymarket YES means a specific movie is #1. A movie can be #1 (Polymarket YES) but still fail Kalshi if views are below 6M, or pass Kalshi (YES) but lose Polymarket if it is not your backed movie. Monitor Netflix's official chart independently and cross-reference both conditions before settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: 11 binary markets, each tied to a view-count threshold (6M, 9M, 12M, 15M, 18M, 21M, 25M, 30M, 35M, 40M, 50M). All resolve YES if the #1 movie meets or exceeds the stated threshold on the March 17, 2026 chart. No explicit NO outcome; implied NO if views fall below threshold. Quote: 'If the #1 Movie on Netflix has at least X million views on the chart published on Mar 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: 19 binary markets, each asking whether a specific movie (Movie C, Movie A, Nobody 2, Jurassic World Rebirth, War Machine, etc.) will be the #1 global Netflix movie. Resolves YES if that movie is ranked #1; NO if any other movie is #1; Other if Netflix fails to publish by March 20, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Quote: 'This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.