TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?
polymarket
kalshi

What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Volume:
$35,860

Thrash

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 22, 2026

Closed: Apr 20, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Thrash

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,744
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Thrash

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,639
N/A
N/A
$5,599
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Anaconda

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,579
N/A
N/A
$4,579
Settled
No
polymarket

Anaconda

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$275
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

KPop Demon Hunters

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,437
N/A
N/A
$3,437
Settled
No
kalshi

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,114
N/A
N/A
$3,114
Settled
No
polymarket

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$412
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,951
N/A
N/A
$2,951
Settled
No
polymarket

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$255
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,493
N/A
N/A
$1,493
Settled
No
polymarket

Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$331
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Black and Blue

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,477
N/A
N/A
$1,477
Settled
No
polymarket

Black and Blue

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$346
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

A Quiet Place Part II

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,174
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

The Fifth Element

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,004
N/A
N/A
$1,004
Settled
No
kalshi

Beast (English)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$999
N/A
N/A
$999
Settled
No
polymarket

Beast

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$283
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Madagascar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$981
N/A
N/A
$981
Settled
No
polymarket

Untold: Jail Blazers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$368
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie A

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie C

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie E

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie G

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie I

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie K

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 31

Description

This event group predicts which movie will rank #1 on Netflix's global weekly top movies chart for a given week. Resolution depends on Netflix's official weekly rankings, which are typically published on Netflix's public Top 10 dashboard or via third-party tracking services that aggregate Netflix viewing data across regions.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket includes a catch-all 'Other' option and placeholder movies (Movie A-K), while Kalshi specifies only named real movies with no catch-all. Polymarket's scope is broader and more defensive; Kalshi's is narrower and more specific.Hero tip: If you bet on a named movie on Polymarket, you face competition from the 'Other' option and 10 placeholder movies, diluting your odds. On Kalshi, the same movie competes only against 9 other real named titles, giving it better odds if it wins. Conversely, if an unlisted movie wins, Polymarket resolves to 'Other' (defined outcome), but Kalshi has no catch-all and may face ambiguity.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Offers 22 outcomes including 10 placeholder movies (Movie A-K) and a catch-all 'Other' option. Resolution: 'If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to Other.' Scope is maximally inclusive; any movie not explicitly listed resolves to 'Other'.
  • Kalshi: Offers 10 outcomes, all named real movies (Thrash, Jumanji, Moriah Wilson, KPop Demon Hunters, Beast, The Fifth Element, Lamar Odom, Anaconda, Black and Blue, Madagascar). No catch-all or placeholder options. Resolution: 'If [named movie] is #1 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Movie on the chart published on Apr 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' No fallback rule for unlisted movies or missing data.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.