TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
What will be the top global Netflix movie this week? Odds & Prediction Markets
Volume:
$35,860
Thrash 100%
Anaconda 0%
Thrash 100%
Closed: Apr 20, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group predicts which movie will rank #1 on Netflix's global weekly top movies chart for a given week. Resolution depends on Netflix's official weekly rankings, which are typically published on Netflix's public Top 10 dashboard or via third-party tracking services that aggregate Netflix viewing data across regions.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket includes a catch-all 'Other' option and placeholder movies (Movie A-K), while Kalshi specifies only named real movies with no catch-all. Polymarket's scope is broader and more defensive; Kalshi's is narrower and more specific.Hero Tip:
If you bet on a named movie on Polymarket, you face competition from the 'Other' option and 10 placeholder movies, diluting your odds. On Kalshi, the same movie competes only against 9 other real named titles, giving it better odds if it wins. Conversely, if an unlisted movie wins, Polymarket resolves to 'Other' (defined outcome), but Kalshi has no catch-all and may face ambiguity.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Offers 22 outcomes including 10 placeholder movies (Movie A-K) and a catch-all 'Other' option. Resolution: 'If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to Other.' Scope is maximally inclusive; any movie not explicitly listed resolves to 'Other'.Kalshi:
Offers 10 outcomes, all named real movies (Thrash, Jumanji, Moriah Wilson, KPop Demon Hunters, Beast, The Fifth Element, Lamar Odom, Anaconda, Black and Blue, Madagascar). No catch-all or placeholder options. Resolution: 'If [named movie] is #1 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Movie on the chart published on Apr 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' No fallback rule for unlisted movies or missing data.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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