TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
What will be the top global Netflix movie this week? Odds & Prediction Markets
Volume:
$48,506
Joe's College Road Trip 96%
The Investigation of Lucy Letby 14%
Tyler Perry's Joe's College Road Trip 100%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group determines which movie will rank #1 on Netflix's global Top 10 movies chart for the week ending February 17, 2026. Both platforms are betting on the same underlying resolution source: Netflix's official global movie rankings published on February 17, 2026.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms reference the identical resolution source (Netflix Top 10 Global Movie chart published February 17, 2026) and apply the same measurement criteria (total global views, English-language movies only).
Primary resolution logic:
Netflix's official Top 10 Global Movies chart published on top10.netflix.com on February 17, 2026 at 3:00 PM ETCore resolution logic:
- Resolution is determined by which movie ranks in the #1 position on Netflix's Top 10 Global Movie chart
- The chart reflects viewership data from the prior week (Monday to Sunday)
- Only English-language movies are included in the ranking
- The ranking is based on total global views as reported by Netflix
- Kalshi lists 12 specific movies that would resolve to Yes if ranked #1; Polymarket lists these same movies plus a catch-all "another movie" option
- If Netflix does not publish the update by February 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Movie not listed on either platform: On Kalshi, if a movie not in the 12 listed options ranks #1, all 12 markets resolve to No. On Polymarket, the "another movie" option would resolve to Yes.
- Netflix update delayed beyond February 20: If the chart update does not occur by 11:59 PM ET on February 20, 2026, Polymarket explicitly resolves to Other. Kalshi does not specify a fallback, creating a minor operational gap.
- Tie or co-ranking: Netflix's methodology produces a single #1 ranked movie; ties are not expected in the official chart.
Timing:
Resolution occurs on or shortly after February 17, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET when Netflix publishes the Top 10 Global Movie chart. Final resolution deadline is February 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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