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What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
kalshi
polymarket

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Volume:
$54,743

Roommates

 - Kalshi

Roommates - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 22, 2026

Closed: Apr 21, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Roommates

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,731
N/A
N/A
$7,276
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Thrash

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,976
N/A
N/A
$5,192
Settled
No
polymarket

Thrash

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,562
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Him

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,596
N/A
N/A
$5,574
Settled
No
kalshi

The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,929
N/A
N/A
$4,929
Settled
No
polymarket

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,153
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,242
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,672
N/A
N/A
$1,147
Settled
No
polymarket

A Quiet Place Part II

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,816
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Untold: Jail Blazers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,626
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Untold: Jail Blazers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,725
N/A
N/A
$1,641
Settled
No
polymarket

Anaconda

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,635
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Anaconda

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$849
N/A
N/A
$849
Settled
No
polymarket

Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,356
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$469
N/A
N/A
$469
Settled
No
polymarket

Black and Blue

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,353
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Black and Blue

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$403
N/A
N/A
$403
Settled
No
polymarket

Beast

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,172
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Beast (English)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$736
N/A
N/A
$668
Settled
No
kalshi

180

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$848
N/A
N/A
$848
Settled
No
kalshi

The Fifth Element

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$422
N/A
N/A
$422
Settled
No
kalshi

Madagascar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$251
N/A
N/A
$251
Settled
No
kalshi

KPop Demon Hunters

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$88
N/A
N/A
$88
Settled
No
kalshi

A Gorilla Story: Told By David Attenborough

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$84
N/A
N/A
$84
Settled
No
kalshi

Ronaldinho: The One and Only

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 37

Description

This event group tracks which movie will rank as the #2 most-watched film on Netflix's US Top 10 Movies list for a given week. Netflix publishes official weekly rankings based on viewing hours, making this a data-driven outcome tied to Netflix's published metrics rather than critical or commercial performance.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket uses a broad catch-all 'Other' category for unspecified movies, while Kalshi provides an exhaustive enumerated list of 16 specific movies with no explicit fallback clause. The two platforms cover different movie universes with partial overlap.Hero tip: If you believe the #2 movie will be something not listed on Kalshi (e.g., Movie A, Movie B, Movie C, etc. from Polymarket's generic placeholders), bet 'Other' on Polymarket. On Kalshi, you are restricted to the 16 named titles only—if none of those resolve as #2, the market outcome is undefined. Avoid Kalshi if you expect an unlisted movie to rank #2.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Polymarket offers 22 outcomes including 16 named movies (Jumanji, Beast, Anaconda, Thrash, Black and Blue, Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom, Untold: Jail Blazers, A Quiet Place Part II, The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson) plus 6 generic placeholders (Movie A, B, C, D, E, F, G, H, I, J, K) and a catch-all 'Other' category. Resolution is based on Netflix's official Top 10 Movies list published on April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET. If the update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to 'Other'.
  • Kalshi: Kalshi provides exactly 16 enumerated Yes/No binary outcomes for specific movies: Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle, The Fifth Element, Madagascar, KPop Demon Hunters, Thrash, The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson, Beast (English), Anaconda, Black and Blue, Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom, Untold: Jail Blazers, A Gorilla Story: Told By David Attenborough, 180, Him, Roommates, and Ronaldinho: The One and Only. Each market resolves Yes if that specific movie is #2 on the Netflix Top 10 US Movie chart published on April 21, 2026. No explicit 'Other' or fallback outcome is defined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.