TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? Odds & Prediction Markets
Volume:
$25,666
Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man 0%
Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man 0%
Other 100%
Closed: Apr 6, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group asks which movie will rank #2 on Netflix's global Top 10 movies list for the week ending April 7, 2026. Both Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on the same underlying fact: Netflix's official ranking published on April 7, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, based on global viewership data for the prior week.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms reference the identical Netflix official ranking published April 7, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, measuring the same metric (global viewership for the prior week, English-language movies only).
Primary resolution logic:
Netflix Top 10 Global Movies official ranking published at top10.netflix.com on April 7, 2026, 3:00 PM ETCore resolution logic:
- Resolution is determined by which movie Netflix officially ranks as #2 on its Global Top 10 Movies list
- The ranking reflects total global views for the prior week (Monday to Sunday)
- Only English-language movies are included in the Netflix Global Top 10 Movies ranking
- Kalshi resolves Yes if any of its 10 named movies appears at #2; Polymarket offers individual binary markets for each movie plus an 'other' catch-all
- If the movie at #2 matches any named option, that option resolves Yes; all other options resolve No
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Netflix update failure: If Netflix does not publish the Top 10 ranking by April 10, 2026 11:59 PM ET, Polymarket explicitly resolves to 'Other'. Kalshi does not specify a fallback; this is a minor procedural gap but does not affect resolution if the update occurs on schedule.
- Tie at #2 position: Netflix's official ranking does not typically show ties; if a tie occurs, Netflix's published ordering determines which movie is listed as #2.
- Movie not on list: If a named movie does not appear in the Top 10 at all, it does not rank #2, and that option resolves No.
- Unnamed movie at #2: If a movie not listed as a named option ranks #2, Polymarket's 'another movie' or 'other' option resolves Yes; Kalshi's outcome depends on whether the movie matches one of its 10 named options.
Timing:
Resolution occurs on April 7, 2026, 3:00 PM ET when Netflix publishes its official Top 10 Global Movies ranking. If not published by April 10, 2026 11:59 PM ET, Polymarket resolves to 'Other'.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.